2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread

over their last 6 games, where they've gone 5-1.

10/25
13/28
9/22 (loss) (last game with Toppin)
11/33
12/30
13/24
I think it's best to look at the past three given Toppin is out. Loss at ASU then beating KSU and Cincy...while Cincy can be dangerous, those two wins aren't exactly eyebrowraising. I see our line has gone from -7.5 to -9.5 today already.
 
I think it's best to look at the past three given Toppin is out. Loss at ASU then beating KSU and Cincy...while Cincy can be dangerous, those two wins aren't exactly eyebrowraising. I see our line has gone from -7.5 to -9.5 today already.
Are they out someone? That’s a big jump in a day.

Edit: besides Toppin obviously
 
I hadn't thought of that, yeah, SJ either should replace Iowa on ISU's notable wins list or be added to it. Tthe latter makes more sense. Some teams on chart have 4 in a category, others have 5 or 6 listed, so it isn't like it's a "space" situation.
They only have 4 wins for all the teams. But list all the losses.

But definitely, if it's supposed to be best wins, then SJ should replace hoks on ours.
 
I'm relying on the committee, not 125 experts. They've already gave us the edge in the reveal and an Arizona win will trump a St Johns win since then.
Win out and we're a one.
I think this is pretty obvious to most. Not just an Arizona win, on the road mind you, but also a Texas Tech win even without Toppin will give Iowa State a clearly better resume than UConn not to mention, like you said, that the committee really likes Iowa State based on the 16 team reveal so I'd go as far as to say that they're a lock for a 1 seed or at least very likely if they win the next 3 games even if they lose early in the Big 12 tournament assuming that the committee doesn't care too much about the conference tournaments.
I think the Arizona game is everything, lose and it's likely UConn for the final 1 seed win and it's likely Iowa State.
 
I think this is pretty obvious to most. Not just an Arizona win, on the road mind you, but also a Texas Tech win even without Toppin will give Iowa State a clearly better resume than UConn not to mention, like you said, that the committee really likes Iowa State based on the 16 team reveal so I'd go as far as to say that they're a lock for a 1 seed or at least very likely if they win the next 3 games even if they lose early in the Big 12 tournament.
This is a point a lot of people are missing. None of the "expert" bracketologists had ISU a #1 before that, so, now, we're supposed to listen to those same "experts" saying UConn is a lock for the #1.
 
I'm relying on the committee, not 125 experts. They've already gave us the edge in the reveal and an Arizona win will trump a St Johns win since then.
Win out and we're a one.
We beat St John’s as well.

At a neutral site.

In Hilton, maybe StJ only scores 30?

So there!
 
This is a point a lot of people are missing. None of the "expert" bracketologists had ISU a #1 before that, so, now, we're supposed to listen to those same "experts" saying UConn is a lock for the #1.
The bracketologists mean nothing lol, whoever puts all the stock into what they're saying don't understand how this works. That's exactly why they do the 16 team reveal because it gives an exact idea of who the committee favors and doesn't at this late juncture of the season, it carries A TON of weight.

Since then UConn beat Villanova and St. John's while Iowa State lost to BYU and beat Utah so, fair, they likely get flipped as of now. So with UConn at 4 and Iowa State at 5 we presume, if UConn beats Seton Hall and Marquette while Iowa State beats Arizona, Texas Tech and Arizona State, how can anyone argue in favor of UConn then? Even if Iowa State lost early in the Big 12 tournament and UConn won a very weak Big East tournament how can anybody argue in favor of UConn based on the committee placement as of last Saturday?
 
I'll be honest, I'm nervous for the game against Texas Tech. I'm just glad it's in Hilton! If they can limit the made three pointers for them, they should be in good shape.

Hopefully the crowd is just as amped as they were against Kansas and Houston. Texas Tech is still a threat so we need a loud Hilton!
Literally every game in the Big 12 with the top 8 teams should cause nerves.
 
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I'll be honest, I'm nervous for the game against Texas Tech. I'm just glad it's in Hilton! If they can limit the made three pointers for them, they should be in good shape.

Hopefully the crowd is just as amped as they were against Kansas and Houston. Texas Tech is still a threat so we need a loud Hilton!

The Houston crowd looked like it was wire to wire frenzy which is pretty rare.

Should still be a good crowd and game.
 
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I know this is unlikely but if Michigan loses to Illinois and Michigan state and our boys win out and get to big 12 championship game do we pass them for #1 seed in Midwest?
 

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