2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

cyfan92

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1. Kansas (14-4)
2. TCU (13-5)
3. Baylor (10-8)
4. Iowa State (9-9)
5. Kansas State (9-9)
6. Texas (9-9)
7. Oklahoma State (8-10)
8. Texas Tech (8-10)
9. West Virginia (7-11)
10. Oklahoma (5-13)

I think BU turns it on as they have the best coach in the conference and great guards who can shoot.
 

alexssdean12

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Look at how close our adjusted O and D are to Okie St. We’re nearly identical by those metrics and yet we’re 12-2 and 3-0, while they’re 9-6 and 1-2. Pretty crazy
Last year same story. I think that they went 15-15 and we went 22-13. Kenpom had us 5D/171O Okie State 4D/161O. Just comes down to close games and if you can finish them. That’s all coaching
 

interrobang

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Last year same story. I think that they went 15-15 and we went 22-13. Kenpom had us 5D/171O Okie State 4D/161O. Just comes down to close games and if you can finish them. That’s all coaching
I think that is captured in the "luck" column. At least I look at it how good you are at closing games/coaching. Does help we are the 6th most experienced team as well on Kenpom.
 
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Sigmapolis

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Wasn't sure where to post this. But has projections for each conference on there and just found it interesting how the races are all shaping up after a few games.

https://bboilercbb.github.io/conferences.html

That is a cool site. Thank you for sharing.

I thought I would paste the relevant table in here for everybody --

1673297651801.png

The fact they have Iowa State as black text on a gold background triggers me.

Otherwise, though, the projections seem reasonable enough.

Torvik does a similar thing here --

1673297715441.png
 

Sigmapolis

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The fact a #3 seed is the modal outcome right now is pretty ******* wild --

The Kane-Ejim-Niang team was a #3 seed.

The "BDJ team" the following year was a #3 seed.

Prohm's first season ("all those seniors") was a #4 seed.

The "Four Horsemen" year (Morris, Naz, Thomas, and Burton) was a #5 seed.

If this team really is a #3 seed, then it is in the same rarefied air by Iowa State standards.

This team is another roster rebuilt on the fly for the second time in two years by TJ and the staff. And the team is playing as well as it is despite being down two projected starters in Williams and Kunc (at least for a while), being forced to start a true-freshman PG, and missing on AJ Green after having a 99.9% expectation that they would land him and he'd be the lead guard and the centerpiece of the offense.

TJ is a magician.
 

CloniesForLife

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The fact a #3 seed is the modal outcome right now is pretty ******* wild --

The Kane-Ejim-Niang team was a #3 seed.

The "BDJ team" the following year was a #3 seed.

Prohm's first season ("all those seniors") was a #4 seed.

The "Four Horsemen" year (Morris, Naz, Thomas, and Burton) was a #5 seed.

If this team really is a #3 seed, then it is in the same rarefied air by Iowa State standards.

This team is another roster rebuilt on the fly for the second time in two years by TJ and the staff. And the team is playing as well as it is despite being down two projected starters in Williams and Kunc (at least for a while), being forced to start a true-freshman PG, and missing on AJ Green after having a 99.9% expectation that they would land him and he'd be the lead guard and the centerpiece of the offense.

TJ is a magician.
I think at some point we hit a bit of a rough patch so a 3 seed is probably a bit high BUT I think 10 wins is in play which in this conference is phenomenal and maybe like a 5 seed? Which I'd sign up for in a heartbeat
 

cyfan92

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I think at some point we hit a bit of a rough patch so a 3 seed is probably a bit high BUT I think 10 wins is in play which in this conference is phenomenal and maybe like a 5 seed? Which I'd sign up for in a heartbeat
10-8 in conference plus 1 win in KC is a 4-5 seed LOCK. Could get to a 3 with the right combination of wins and no home losses to the bottom teams
 

Gunnerclone

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The fact a #3 seed is the modal outcome right now is pretty ******* wild --

The Kane-Ejim-Niang team was a #3 seed.

The "BDJ team" the following year was a #3 seed.

Prohm's first season ("all those seniors") was a #4 seed.

The "Four Horsemen" year (Morris, Naz, Thomas, and Burton) was a #5 seed.

If this team really is a #3 seed, then it is in the same rarefied air by Iowa State standards.

This team is another roster rebuilt on the fly for the second time in two years by TJ and the staff. And the team is playing as well as it is despite being down two projected starters in Williams and Kunc (at least for a while), being forced to start a true-freshman PG, and missing on AJ Green after having a 99.9% expectation that they would land him and he'd be the lead guard and the centerpiece of the offense.

TJ is a magician.

BUt prOhM hAdZ hEAd cOAchInG sPErieNcE
 

Sigmapolis

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BUt prOhM hAdZ hEAd cOAchInG sPErieNcE

Eh, that discussion is water under the bridge and well downstream by now. We'll never know how TJ would have done then as a rookie head coach even if handed a powerful roster like that.

We do know how he is doing now, though, and I'm sure he'd tell you that gaining some experience in Brookings and Paradise helped him grow as a coach. So I'm just going to take what we have.

:)
 

Gunnerclone

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Eh, that discussion is water under the bridge and well downstream by now. We'll never know how TJ would have done then as a rookie head coach even if handed a powerful roster like that.

We do know how he is doing now, though, and I'm sure he'd tell you that gaining some experience in Brookings and Paradise helped him grow as a coach. So I'm just going to take what we have.

:)

It’s not downstream it’s also upstream because I almost guarantee in the next 10 years we will be making a coaching hire in FB or BB and I want people to recognize game.