2021-2022 Predictions Thread
- Thread starter CoKane
- Start date
Other than the losing a lot, this was a pretty good take.
Big 12 is WIDE OPEN after it's top 3. The chart below is from Bart Torvik's site. You want to be as far to the top and to the right as possible.
Baylor and KU are obviously in Tier 1
Then I'd put Texas in tier 2.
After that, this league is so darn close from 4-10. NO nights off! We will have to defend Hilton and home court to survive
Baylor and KU are obviously in Tier 1
Then I'd put Texas in tier 2.
After that, this league is so darn close from 4-10. NO nights off! We will have to defend Hilton and home court to survive
Going 4-0 vs KSU and TCU will be key to making the tournament I think. Drop one of those 4 games, and suddenly getting to that 8-10 mark is a lot more challenging.
I'd love to get to 21 wins
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Predicted 10 wins overall and we’re already there after 10 games. Everything from here on is gravy to me. Just enjoying watching this new brand of basketball.
I think the Big 12 is tough, but I think there will be plenty of other wins to be had. OSU I don’t think is that good, and I think WVU, Tech, OU, and Texas are all wins we can get at home and have a chance on the road. This team can even give KU fits at home.
joe lunardi's seed sheet still had us at a 4 with a >75% chance to make the tournament as games stood through Dec. 12.
So is this saying that statistically OSU and BU may be slightly ahead of us defensively and that KU just barely edges our TCU to avoid being the worst D in the conference? Wouldn't have guessed any of those to be the case.
I said I'd wait 'till the nonconference season was over before predicting. Just had no idea before the season. Now we know we have a very nice team!!
10-0 now; I'll go 12-0 nonconference
6 conference Home wins
4 conference Away wins
2 Big 12 Tourney wins
______________________________
= 24-9
NCAA bid, 3-4 seed
Lose in the Sweet 16
Final record 26-10. Final AP poll 13.
TJ Coach of the Year somewhere, Big 12, nationally.
p.s., I'm counting on Tre King to be eligible and to gradually (atleast) make needed contributions to the 4-5 position, second half of season. Team stays healthy.
Nobody saw this season coming.
10-0 now; I'll go 12-0 nonconference
6 conference Home wins
4 conference Away wins
2 Big 12 Tourney wins
______________________________
= 24-9
NCAA bid, 3-4 seed
Lose in the Sweet 16
Final record 26-10. Final AP poll 13.
TJ Coach of the Year somewhere, Big 12, nationally.
p.s., I'm counting on Tre King to be eligible and to gradually (atleast) make needed contributions to the 4-5 position, second half of season. Team stays healthy.
Nobody saw this season coming.
My prediction for conference play:
Final record: 22-9 (9-9)
| TEAM | HOME | AWAY |
| TECH | W | L |
| BAYLOR | L | L |
| TCU | W | W |
| TEXAS | L | L |
| KSU | W | W |
| WVU | W | W |
| OU | W | L |
| OSU | W | L |
| KU | L | L |
Final record: 22-9 (9-9)
That still looks pretty decent. Barf Torvik shows 22-9 but I think we end up 23-8 (10-8)
Dark red: already played loss
Dark green: already played win
Light red: projected loss
Light green: projected win
White: toss up games (win 2/lose 2)
Yeah, as infuriating as that KU loss was, and disappointing as the OU loss was, we're basically right where I kind of expected us to be. But that does mean some of these start becoming "must win" games pretty quickly. A home loss to someone like KSU, TCU, or WVU will be a big problem if it happens (and it definitely can).
Agree. We like to avoid using "must-win" especially this early in conference season, but we can't rely only on picking up only the "likely wins," because there aren't a lot of those. Grab some of these "probably loss" opportunities whenever possible.
Torvik currently projects us at 10-8 in the league though. Difference is a home win against KU, which seems silly to type out knowing preseason projections...
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