Looking at the list of B12 players for this season... Wow. This is going to be fun.
2024-2025 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
True. Yeah, I think Iowa is going to be dog crap this year. I think they have three players and then not much to speak of after that. Their defense is going to be atrocious. Especially on the interior. And if Freeman gets into foul trouble they are going to get blown out by a lot of teams.
I think they're going to be a bubble team, and against good teams, especially against teams that play physical defense, they're going to struggle like they always do.
Funny how Iowa has become a poor man's version of the Hoiberg teams.
*Can* get hot from three on any given night and beat just about anybody.
See the game in CHA against Iowa State during the Jaren Holmes year for an example of that one.
But the moment a bigger, stronger, and meaner team bodies them up... they fold quickly.
The Hoiberg teams were still much more physical than any Iowa team has had under Fran.
Hence why I said "poor man's version."
Iowa doesn't have anybody nearly as physical as these Hoiberg guys...
Chris Babb
Melvin Ejim
DeAndre Kane
Dustin Hogue
Abdel Nader
Daniel Edozie
Sorry I completely read over that key distinction lol. Yeah they play the same style of ball, but haven't had any dogs outside of Garza. Even the Murray twins didn't have the killer mentality.
Sandfort is anything but a "killer" but he can shoot well enough to scare you.
He gets rollin' and you've got a game on your hands.
Freeman has some high-end potential but he's a long way from realizing it. He reminds me a bit of Cameron Lard. Can be very good but can also be a hothead who can't stay out of foul trouble.
Good Freeman is a dangerous player. Bad Freeman is a joke.
Freeman is such a liability on defense and that's saying something playing for Iowa.
Evan Miya did an interesting study on how to build a roster in the modern era. https://blog.evanmiya.com/p/how-to-build-a-roster-in-the-modern
Here are the Cliff's Notes version
Here are the Cliff's Notes version
Attachments
Did anyone post the Evan Miya substack post on his 10,000 simulations? Worth a read. B12 is a computer darling again.
blog.evanmiya.com
Preseason Ceiling and Floor Team Outcomes
Using preseason simulations to get best and worst case scenarios for every team
blog.evanmiya.com
About time to fire this machine up for the season.
A few from Team Rankings before we get going tonight...
A few from Team Rankings before we get going tonight...
Sign me up for a 1 seed RIGHT FREAKING NOW
The only type of 'physical' was dirty play from the weirdo who would pull on opponents during tip off and never get caught or repeatedly eye poke.
Garza was really good but his 'physical' was high elbows to the chest while taking like 4 steps off the block.
we'll need a few games to get a sense of KenPom ratings
Final preseason Torvik update. Not much movement but just to look at it again...
This conference is going to be brutal.
Top 3/4
Top 4/10
Top 6/20
= Big 12 teams
Arizona, Cincinnati, and BYU looking like very solid additions this year.
UCF and Arizona St. have some upside potential. Colorado is likely going to struggle.
This conference is going to be brutal.
Top 3/4
Top 4/10
Top 6/20
= Big 12 teams
Arizona, Cincinnati, and BYU looking like very solid additions this year.
UCF and Arizona St. have some upside potential. Colorado is likely going to struggle.
Interesting it came out to an average of close to 8 loses. I can see getting up to 5 losses in the regular season. I know our front court guys knew the system and did enough to keep things afloat but the new guys look like a pretty big step up and giving back up guard minutes to heise will be amazing to watch.
Torvik is projecting 22-7 but doesn't count the two Maui games where we don't yet know the opponent. So, if you fold those two games in there at a 1-1 assumption, then you land here...
23-8 (14-6)
We're right on the ragged edge of a #1 seed right now...
I don't think three Big 12 teams are going to be #1s, though. Maybe two. Not three.
Locations "draft" if the above holds for fun...
Cleveland, OH = Alabama / Creighton
Denver, CO = Texas A&M / Arizona
Lexington, KY = Auburn / Tennessee
Milwaukee, WI = Iowa State / Texas
Providence, RI = UConn / Purdue
Raleigh, NC = Duke / North Carolina
Seattle, WA = St. John's / Baylor
Wichita, KS = Houston / Kansas
