Asking again: Has the rot started to set in?

Has the rot started to creep in?


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SolterraCyclone

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Bowl games (outside of the Playoff) largely won't exist in 10 years in my opinion, unless something drastically changes.
I think they’d have to expand the CFP or add a secondary NIT-like tourney for bowls to die.

If only the CFP existed, only 10% of FBS teams would make the postseason. That by far is the lowest % of a league, college or professional. 19% of CBB teams make the NCAA Tourney and there still is an NIT tourney and other postseason tournaments.

You can’t have only 10% of programs make a postseason because that renders the season over for most of that other 90% by mid-October and would diminish the regular season even more than it already is. I’m certain you’d start to see a swath of opt outs the minute a team hit 3 losses
 
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Cyclone06

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ISU vs Kstate, thanksgiving weekend, every year... played in Cancun. Hosted by WeWill. I think that would be a win all around, except for the coaches.
 

brentblum

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I think they’d have to expand the CFP or add a secondary NIT-like tourney for bowls to die.

If only the CFP existed, only 10% of FBS teams would make the postseason. That by far is the lowest % of a league, college or professional. 19% of CBB teams make the NCAA Tourney and there still is an NIT tourney and other postseason tournaments.

You can’t have only 10% of programs make a postseason because that renders the season over for most of that other 90% by mid-October and would diminish the regular season even more than it already is. I’m certain you’d start to see a swath of opt outs the minute a team hit 3 losses
Schools are losing money on bowl games as they currently operate. Schools are no longer going to take on needless costs in the revenue sharing era. Either schools and conferences get a bigger cut of bowl revenue or they won’t participate in my opinion.
 

CyHans

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I personally think bowl games are fun. A lot of them I don't care about but there is usually some interesting matchups. When ISU is 6-6 it's a benefit to the program to get another month of practice and extra exposure.
Plus it's more football to watch during a time of year when basketball is still playing non-con's that aren't necessarily all that great.
 
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cycloneworld

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Schools are losing money on bowl games as they currently operate. Schools are no longer going to take on needless costs in the revenue sharing era. Either schools and conferences get a bigger cut of bowl revenue or they won’t participate in my opinion.

Agree - would teams figure this out themselves and cut out the bowl? I.e. Illinois and Iowa State decide to play a "bowl game" at a strategic location that helps both programs, makes it easy for fans, etc? I realize that putting on these games takes a lot of work but we are seeing it happen for basketball.

I imagine TV would be interested since bowl games still get good ratings in a month where they need live content.
 
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DrClone

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Just curious, what do you expect out of a bowl game? Other than obviously wanting to see a W, how has it been anything other than a scrimmage, especially in this day and age. Since they expanded bowls, you can make a case for it being a glorified scrimmage, especially most of the bowls Iowa State has been in.

It’s just an excuse for fans to take a vacation, IMO
How can you eliminate the expectation to play to win. Isn't that the goal of any game?
 

brett108

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Schools are losing money on bowl games as they currently operate. Schools are no longer going to take on needless costs in the revenue sharing era. Either schools and conferences get a bigger cut of bowl revenue or they won’t participate in my opinion.
That brings up a strong point about the change in fundamentals. Cities are no longer going to be able to just pocket the cash. Terms will have to get a lot better for anyone to travel, or it will end up like last years NIT.
 
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Dgilbertson

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In defense of the question Has the rot started to creep in?​

(not that I'll convince anyone that concern was valid)



Abstract
  • Campbell had his worst stretch prior to his best
  • Gambling scandal and questionable captains
  • NIL climate and coaching youth softball — "is the appetite still there?"
  • Bulls**t programs care about 6-6 and how the 66BSM impacts its creator's own resume
  • Maybe we are doomed after all and on the cusp of relegation
  • This season has been great though and this thread is kind of a serious downer
For the Buzzfeed generation TL;DR — I'm with @VeloClone, is it time to lock this thread?
---

What Campbell and the team have done this season is literally and statistically unprecedented.​

I'm here for it. For those close to the program, Blum et al, and others who can spot signs of young development, there was much reason for hope, particularly at the end of last season. But directly preceding Campbell and ISU's most unprecedented, historic, success, was his worst statistical stretch.

1. For me, it's not even the 4-8 (or 3-11 stretch) that was potentially most concerning, but some of the larger cultural signs.

We just lost our golden recruits, and we handed the reins and the captain duties over to captains that found themselves in the midst of a high profile, national news scandal (yes it was illegal and bs investigation), but it flew in the face of the culture. The QB1 and RB1 that were given the keys to the car were mixed up in a gambling scandal and now find themselves very much out of serious football.

No shade on either young man, but that is at least a bit concerning from a discernment and judgment standpoint for the staff. And raises serious concern if there were foundational issues starting to show.

2. NIL and do we have the stomach for this new reality? After the close of the 2021 season, it was well publicized that Campbell was coaching his girls 6th grade softball team. As a dad of 5 myself, and a small town kid, I love it. But I had to turn down coaching my sons flag football and soccer teams because I don't feel like I have the time for it.

That combined with some other things that had come from the staff in the last few years seemed like perhaps it was more important to develop character and winning was second or third in importance. Honor before victory yes, but you have to have sustained success to continue doing it well.

I went from thinking we would lose Matt to ND, OSU, or Mich to maybe he steps away, goes down a division where he can actually do the thing he loves, more time for family etc. I wouldn't be mad at him and I'm not cut out for DI coaching so no stones.

He wouldn't have been the first successful coach to say, "this climate, it's not what I'm here for."

3. Bulls**t programs care about 6-6. I didn't say it, he said it. He got us to believe it. I'm thankful for it. That rise in expectation cuts both ways though.

3-9, 8-5, 8-5, 7-6, 9-3, 7-6, 4-8, 1-2

If 6-6 is bulls**t, 7-6 can't be considered "a success". So that's 4 of 7 years of BS and mid at best, and three historically good/great seasons, but by the 6-6BS metric (henceforth 66BSM) only one truly great season. Staff had previously stated the goal was to be competing for conference championships. We did that in 2020 (asterisk not applied, but potentially inferred)

Add to that three games into season 8 looking like things are trending towards another season of potential BS.

4. Maybe I was wrong, and ISU will never reach that other side of the mountain. "was I wrong to believe?" "is this what a fool believes?" "Who is the wise man?" "Does he have the power to reason away?"

Have I been had? I've been presenting my loins proudly, confident that I did not need to break the cup out of retirement. Were those still clutching their jocks right all along?

---
Mix that with change in college landscape with NIL and culture issues, I think it was fair to broach the topic, "is the rot starting to set in?"

I loved Mac, Rhoads, Prohm, others saw warning signs earlier than I did. Were they rotters because they saw warning signs? Were they wrong?

I never lost faith in Campbell, but there were things I wanted to see corrected. I love that all of the things I've felt have plagued the program have done a 180 this year.

Trying to draw a false start on 4th & 2, only to use a timeout, then running near side option to get a first...that hasn't been present in the years past. Crisp play calling and the HC and OC on the same page running a well-oiled machine...that hasn't been consistent in the years past.

We've had equal or greater skill talent in past years, but something else had always been just a touch off, and to me, it didn't seem like responsibility mostly fell on player personnel errors or execution.

Again this season, I can't say I've watched every minute of each game, but I don't recall any drive killing procedure penalties that have pushed us out of scoring or shot a drive in the foot.

There were things that needed to be corrected. They have been. There were also some legitimate things that looked like signs that maybe the program didn't have the same goals and vision heading into 2023 that it did in 2017. The looks into the program from videos this year, show that the staff seems more locked, focused and hungry than I recall seeing since that 2017-18 run.

IIRC the original post said it was possible that he has a bounce back like Kirk. Well, he has. I remember in that lull with Kirk it seemed like IC fanbase was divided between people who were settling with mediocrity, people who were negative, and people who were weighing the tension of firing a largely successful coach for the unknown.

ISU hadn't reached that point, but if 2023 didn't turn around, those conversations would've rightfully picked up even more.

I'm again, beyond thankful that 2023 did turn around. And I'd love to log onto CF and not see this largely negative, receipt keeping thread at the top of the forum, but maybe I'm alone.

TL;DR — I'm with @VeloClone, is it time to lock this thread?
 
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DrClone

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That is how I understood it to be. I would add, I believe the "Scrimmage" mentality extended into the Bowl preparation practices as well. I am not a person who travels to bowl games so I did not look at it from that perspective. I view what "possibly" transpired last season for the bowl game as a catalyst for the roster continuity and depth of this year's squad. I, for one, would pass up beating Mempis last year for the current shot we have at the playoffs. In my opinion, without the depth and continuity ISU would not be undefeated and vying for a playoff spot. For clarity, I believe I heard this from Blum on a Williams and Blum Wednesday pod cast going back to the dead zone in sports, (The end of basketball and before the start of football.) It was a pod cast that had NIL in the title.
Any reason they can't prep for the upcoming year and play to win.?
 

NorthCyd

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In defense of the question — not that I'll convince anyone that concern was valid.

Has the rot started to creep in?​


So what Campbell and the team have done is, literally and statistically, unprecedented.

I'm here for it. For those close to the program, Blum et al, and others who can spot signs of young development, there was much reason for hope, particularly at the end of last season.

1. But directly preceding Campbell and ISU's most unprecedented, historic, success, was his worst statistical stretch. For me, it's not even the 4-8 that was potentially concerning though, but some of the larger signs.

We just lost our golden recruits, and we handed the reins and the captain duties over to captains that found themselves in the midst of a high profile, national news scandal (yes it was illegal and bs investigation), but it flew in the face of the culture. The QB1 and RB1 that were given the keys to the car were mixed up in a gambling scandal and now find themselves very much out of serious football.

No shade on either young man, but that is at least a bit concerning from a discernment and judgment standpoint for the staff.

2. NIL and do we have the stomach for this new reality? After the close of the 2021 season, it was well publicized that Campbell was coaching his girls 6th grade softball team. As a dad of 5 myself, and a small town kid, I love it. But I had to turn down coaching my sons flag football and soccer teams because I don't feel like I have the time for it.

But that combined with some other things that had come from the staff in the last few years seemed like perhaps it was more important to develop character and winning was second or third in importance. Honor before victory, but you have to have success to do it.

I went from thinking we would lose Matt to ND, OSU, or Mich to maybe he steps away, goes down a division where he can actually do the thing he loves, more time for family etc. I wouldn't be mad at him and I'm not cut out for DI coaching so no stones.

He wouldn't have been the first successful coach to say, "this climate, it's not what I'm here for."

3. Bulls**t programs care about 6-6. I didn't say it, he said it. He got us to believe it. I'm thankful for it, but that rise in expectation cuts both ways.

3-9, 8-5, 8-5, 7-6, 9-3, 7-6, 4-8, 1-2

If 6-6 is bulls**t, 7-6 can't be considered "great". So that's 4 of 7 years of BS and mid at best, and three historically good/great seasons. Add to that three games into season 8 looking like things are trending towards another season of potential BS.

---
Mix that with change in change in college landscape with NIL and culture issues, I think it was fair to broach the topic, "is the rot starting to set in?"

I loved Mac, Rhoads, Prohm, others saw warning signs earlier than I did. Were they rotters because they saw warning signs? Were they wrong?

I never lost faith in Campbell, but there were things I wanted to see corrected. I love that all of the things I've felt have plagued the program have done a 180 this year.

Trying to draw a false start on 4th & 2, only to use a timeout, then running near side option to get a first...that hasn't been present in the years past. Crisp play calling and the HC and OC seeming like they're running a well-oiled machine...that hasn't been present in the years past.

We've had skill talent in years past, but something else had always been just a touch off, and to me, it didn't seem like responsibility mostly fell on player personnel errors or execution.

Then with this season, I can't say I've watched every minute of each game, but I don't recall any drive killing procedure penalties that have pushed us out of scoring or shot a drive in the foot.

There were things that needed to be corrected. They have been. There were also some legitimate things that looked like signs that maybe the program didn't have the same get goals and vision heading into 2023 that it did in 2017. The looks into the program from videos this year, show that the staff seems more locked, focused and hungry than I recall seeing since that 2017-18 run.

IIRC the original post said it was possible that he has a bounce back like Kirk. Well, he has. I remember in that lull with Kirk it seemed like IC fanbase was divided between people who were settling with mediocrity, people who were negative, and people who were weighing the tension of firing a largely successful coach for the unknown.

ISU hadn't reached that point, but if 2023 didn't turn around, those conversations would've rightfully picked up even more.

I'm again, beyond thankful that 2023 did turn around. And I'd love to log onto CF and not see this largely negative, receipt keeping thread at the top of the forum, but maybe I'm alone.

TL;DR — I'm with @VeloClone , is it time to lock this thread?

I don't know how long it took you to write this but it wasn't worth it.
 

AllInForISU

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How can you eliminate the expectation to play to win. Isn't that the goal of any game?

I think you want to win, sure, but what does winning a meaningless exhibition game do for a teams future? These games are where you try different things, maybe experiment with formations or plays.

I never said you don’t want or try to win.
 

trevn

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Schools are losing money on bowl games as they currently operate. Schools are no longer going to take on needless costs in the revenue sharing era. Either schools and conferences get a bigger cut of bowl revenue or they won’t participate in my opinion.

From strictly a fan's perspective, I view non-playoff bowl games as equivalent to an exhibition basketball game. The game means absolutely nothing and I likely won't be invested in the outcome.
 

JEFF420

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In defense of the question

Has the rot started to creep in?​

(not that I'll convince anyone that concern was valid)



What Campbell and the team have done this season is literally and statistically unprecedented.​


I'm here for it. For those close to the program, Blum et al, and others who can spot signs of young development, there was much reason for hope, particularly at the end of last season. But directly preceding Campbell and ISU's most unprecedented, historic, success, was his worst statistical stretch.

1. For me, it's not even the 4-8 (or 3-11 stretch) that was potentially most concerning, but some of the larger cultural signs.

We just lost our golden recruits, and we handed the reins and the captain duties over to captains that found themselves in the midst of a high profile, national news scandal (yes it was illegal and bs investigation), but it flew in the face of the culture. The QB1 and RB1 that were given the keys to the car were mixed up in a gambling scandal and now find themselves very much out of serious football.

No shade on either young man, but that is at least a bit concerning from a discernment and judgment standpoint for the staff.

2. NIL and do we have the stomach for this new reality? After the close of the 2021 season, it was well publicized that Campbell was coaching his girls 6th grade softball team. As a dad of 5 myself, and a small town kid, I love it. But I had to turn down coaching my sons flag football and soccer teams because I don't feel like I have the time for it.

That combined with some other things that had come from the staff in the last few years seemed like perhaps it was more important to develop character and winning was second or third in importance. Honor before victory yes, but you have to have sustained success to continue doing it well.

I went from thinking we would lose Matt to ND, OSU, or Mich to maybe he steps away, goes down a division where he can actually do the thing he loves, more time for family etc. I wouldn't be mad at him and I'm not cut out for DI coaching so no stones.

He wouldn't have been the first successful coach to say, "this climate, it's not what I'm here for."

3. Bulls**t programs care about 6-6. I didn't say it, he said it. He got us to believe it. I'm thankful for it. That rise in expectation cuts both ways though.

3-9, 8-5, 8-5, 7-6, 9-3, 7-6, 4-8, 1-2

If 6-6 is bulls**t, 7-6 can't be considered "great". So that's 4 of 7 years of BS and mid at best, and three historically good/great seasons. Add to that three games into season 8 looking like things are trending towards another season of potential BS.

4. Maybe I was wrong, and ISU will never reach that other side of the mountain. "was I wrong to believe?" "is this what a fool believes?" "Who is the wise man? Does he have the power to reason away?"

Have I been had. I've been presenting my loins proudly, knowing that I did not need to break the cup out of retirement. Were those still clutching their jocks right all along?

---
Mix that with change in change in college landscape with NIL and culture issues, I think it was fair to broach the topic, "is the rot starting to set in?"

I loved Mac, Rhoads, Prohm, others saw warning signs earlier than I did. Were they rotters because they saw warning signs? Were they wrong?

I never lost faith in Campbell, but there were things I wanted to see corrected. I love that all of the things I've felt have plagued the program have done a 180 this year.

Trying to draw a false start on 4th & 2, only to use a timeout, then running near side option to get a first...that hasn't been present in the years past. Crisp play calling and the HC and OC seeming like they're running a well-oiled machine...that hasn't been present in the years past.

We've had skill talent in years past, but something else had always been just a touch off, and to me, it didn't seem like responsibility mostly fell on player personnel errors or execution.

Then with this season, I can't say I've watched every minute of each game, but I don't recall any drive killing procedure penalties that have pushed us out of scoring or shot a drive in the foot.

There were things that needed to be corrected. They have been. There were also some legitimate things that looked like signs that maybe the program didn't have the same goals and vision heading into 2023 that it did in 2017. The looks into the program from videos this year, show that the staff seems more locked, focused and hungry than I recall seeing since that 2017-18 run.

IIRC the original post said it was possible that he has a bounce back like Kirk. Well, he has. I remember in that lull with Kirk it seemed like IC fanbase was divided between people who were settling with mediocrity, people who were negative, and people who were weighing the tension of firing a largely successful coach for the unknown.

ISU hadn't reached that point, but if 2023 didn't turn around, those conversations would've rightfully picked up even more.

I'm again, beyond thankful that 2023 did turn around. And I'd love to log onto CF and not see this largely negative, receipt keeping thread at the top of the forum, but maybe I'm alone.

TL;DR — I'm with @VeloClone , is it time to lock this thread?



im not reading all that. im sorry that happened or thats awesome dude keep up the good work
 

Dgilbertson

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im not reading all that. im sorry that happened or thats awesome dude keep up the good work
Thank you for your editors notes
  • Campbell had his worst stretch prior to his best
  • Gambling scandal and questionable captains
  • NIL climate and coaching youth softball — "is the appetite still there?"
  • Bulls**t programs care about 6-6 and how the 66BSM impacts its creator's own resume
  • Maybe we are doomed after all and on the cusp of relegation
  • This season has been great though and this thread is kind of a serious downer
For the Buzzfeed generation TL;DR — I'm with @VeloClone, is it time to lock this thread?
 
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SolterraCyclone

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Schools are losing money on bowl games as they currently operate. Schools are no longer going to take on needless costs in the revenue sharing era. Either schools and conferences get a bigger cut of bowl revenue or they won’t participate in my opinion.
Is this true though? Don’t those bowl payouts go to the conference, aggregated, and distributed to the schools. Is that incremental amount more than the loss schools take in operational costs?

EDIT: I mean the incremental dollars each school receives from the total bowl payout of all the B12 bowls. Cause if that total is more than operational costs to the individual schools, then all schools need to continue to accept bowl invites
 
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TopCy

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I personally think bowl games are fun. A lot of them I don't care about but there is usually some interesting matchups. When ISU is 6-6 it's a benefit to the program to get another month of practice and extra exposure.
Plus it's more football to watch during a time of year when basketball is still playing non-con's that aren't necessarily all that great.
I wonder what the divide between older and younger fans looks like on this. As someone who spent the whole 80s and 90s dreaming that my team would go to a bowl, I don't know if I'll ever not be excited to see them play in one.
Basketball's the same way. Any time we make the tournament is a huge success for me, but I'm sure younger fans who see them make the tournament almost every year expect more.
 

Dgilbertson

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That’s the problem with TLDR posts, people tend not to read them and miss you said it is TLDR. Quite the conundrum, isn't it.
I've revised and posted the TL;DR disclaimer as well as an abstract at the top of my Rot Recap dissertation.