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Will ISU make a Bowl Game? YES! Which One? LIBERTY BOWL 12/29

Will ISU make a Bowl Game (Final Record)?

  • No (3-9)

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • No (4-8)

    Votes: 16 3.9%

  • No (5-7)

    Votes: 127 30.8%

  • Yes (5-7)

    Votes: 31 7.5%

  • Yes (6-6)

    Votes: 189 45.9%

  • Yes (7-5)

    Votes: 43 10.4%

  • Yes (8-4)

    Votes: 5 1.2%

  • Yes (9-3)

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Total voters
    412
  • Poll closed .
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cuphues said:
I agree with your statement that it has happened, but again I just find it hard to believe cold weather can turn a potential playoff team into a bunch of wussies. Why can’t it be that the Clones came prepared and won versus trying to say cold weather made the other team not show up. Statistically I would be shocked if this phenomenon of Southern teams losing in Northern locations can be proven true.
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Yeah, that would be great but I am never disappointed if a team roles over.

If Iowa State plays their A game and Texas plays their A game, Texas most likely wins.
 
MJ271 said:
I was curious, so I did some looking. I didn't find anything definitive, and nothing on college football, but here are a couple analyses.

Sports Illustrated: Looked at NFL data 1985-2011 and did not find any advantages for northern teams in cold weather, nor southern teams in hot weather. Article did not give actual numbers.

Reddit: Found higher win percentages for home teams in cold weather games (<32 degrees and <20 degrees) in the regular season than the historical home winning percentage (57%), but also found a lower winning percentage for home teams in cold games in the playoffs. This analysis uses less data, so there are smaller sample sizes, especially for the playoffs.

A real analysis of this would include strength of teams, which neither of these links seem to do. For instance, if you're looking at the 2000s and 2010s, the Patriots and Packers might skew the win percentage quite a bit by being two of the teams most consistently playing in cold weather while also consistently being two of the best teams in the NFL over that period, regardless of weather.
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Appreciate the effort to try and find statistical evidence. Honestly, I think the concept of Southern teams coming to Jack Trice in inclement weather is something we all wish gave us an advantage, but just makes us feel good about our chances of victory and is not a reality. All that stated, I would love nothing more than a victory versus UT in below freezing temperatures. That would be a great night in Jack Trice.
 
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I think the chances are 70-30 for a bowl (roughly) at this point. The Big 12 is terrible and the outstanding special teams, as well as the defense's increased ability at forcing TOs, makes it easier to win the close games we used to lose.

Lot's of so-so to not good teams remaining on the schedule. Barring injuries I have a hard time not seeing us notch two more wins. More than becoming "bowl eligible" I really want to see some improvement along the line of scrimmage and at least 1 of the LBs to show they are making progress. I think that shows us more for the upcoming season than going to a bowl does. But if those things happen that assuredly means we will be winning more than 2 games as well.
 
AlaCyclone said:
The Cyclones have been upgraded to the Guaranteed Rate Bowl vs. Nebraska by Palm.

Oh my!

www.cbssports.com

College Football Bowl Projections 2026-27

CBS Sports experts select the college football teams they believe will make the NCAA National Semifinals at the end of the 2026 season and give projections for each game.
www.cbssports.com www.cbssports.com
Click to expand...
It would be fun to play Nebraska again. Even though their fans are almost insufferable as EIU.
 
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Not sure I could handle this game. Only wish dispare and doom for NE. I might need to record the game and only watch if we win.
 
  • Agree
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AlaCyclone said:
The Cyclones have been upgraded to the Guaranteed Rate Bowl vs. Nebraska by Palm.

Oh my!

www.cbssports.com

College Football Bowl Projections 2026-27

CBS Sports experts select the college football teams they believe will make the NCAA National Semifinals at the end of the 2026 season and give projections for each game.
www.cbssports.com www.cbssports.com
Click to expand...

Apparently, Palm couldn't find a reason to keep ISU out.

He still has some weird obsession with UCF — 3-5 (0-5 Big 12, tied for last!), only semi-good win is vs. Boise State.

TCU or Tech should have that slot.
 
  • Agree
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CyGuy5 said:
We’ve got a tough 4 game stretch to end the year. I think we can definitely get at least 1 of 4 but I wouldn’t be too surprised if we didn’t. That Ohio loss looms large right now.
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Yeah, I could really see us dropping all 4. KU is playing well. BYU just seems like that will be a tough road trip no matter what, similar to how Boulder used to go. UT of course has crazy talent. And KSU on the road is never easy.

That Ohio loss just feels so big right now.
 
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  • Agree
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bosco said:
In order of difficulty and predicted lines (source my addled brain)

Baylor -3
BYU pick em
KU +3.5
KSU +4
Texas +14
Click to expand...

Since no one asked, here is where I would project these now...

KU - Current live line is pick em
BYU - Pick em
KState +9.5
Texas +13
 
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