Under the ACC dissolution strategy he laid out,
every ACC school would economically win out being in their new conference vs. the ACC. At least through 2036 when the GOR expires.
- The 6-8 ACC schools going to the Big10 or SEC stand to make $600M more between now and 2036. Plus you have Notre Dame likely going to Big10 if ACC dissolves.
- The ACC schools going to the Big12 could make more than they currently make in the ACC. Big12 schools will make and average of $31.7 and the ACC deal is below that.
- ACC schools that join a G5 conference will make less than their current ACC deal, but...
Why wouldn't Clemson, FSU, UNC, etc. each take $600M more over the next 12 years from the SEC/Big10 and turnaround and each give $200M (or whatever the amount is) to make ACC schools left out whole
plus a kicker vs. their current ACC deal?
If all 14 ACC schools can be richer than the current ACC TV deal between now & 2036- why not do the deal? Basically, the same logic as the Pac12. Why delay the inevitable and in this case the schools not being invited to the Big10/SEC hold great cards.
No doubt Yormark is pushing for this, and likely a reason why he wanted to be the conference with both major network as benefactors, something he just championed.
The win-win Yormark has positioned us for was for the Big 12 to provide a landing spot the two networks could use to continue consolidation. Likely that factored into what seemed like a below market rate, which in essence was Yormark “buying” stability via undercutting PAC and ACC demands.
In exchange for helping ESPN and Fox further consolidation, which frees up the valuable linear bandwidth tied up in ACC for a premium SEC plus FSU, Clemson, UNC etc, the Big 12 is bestowed as #3, a cost-effective write off for the networks to avoid litigation. If we’re lucky we get a little more bandwidth too
Adding whatever is needed to liquidate ACC is an easy decision for the Big 12. It basically extends the Big 12’s deal to 2036, removes the cannibalism of scraps after P2, better CFP macros, builds up the basketball inventory via tapping into Big East bloodlines and ACC history, brings conference network revenue, etc
imo the only question is not whether it can be done from ACC schools or networks standpoint, but whether BIG or SEC are ready to go to 20+
Unlike Big 12 , PAC, and ACC, the P2 are partners with networks. They have final say.
I’d guess BIG is ready for at least 18 if it includes ND. Likely 20
SEC would probably follow