I'm not gonna sugar coat the offensive offense we have seen the past few games/basically all season. No point in doing so.
However, what I am going to do is try and bring some levity to the season at this point.
I think many, including myself, need to remember a couple of things: first, the fact we are even DISCUSSING the NCAA tournament as a possibility given last year is incredible. Doesn't make our play lately any better, I'm not saying that. But let's remember where we were last year. It's amazing we are 16-7 with very solid quad one wins and not one bad loss. Second, the defense in this league gets bandied about a lot, and for good reason.
But look at who we've played so far this year in the league:
- Baylor (#5 NET, #9 AO, #17 AD)
- Kansas (twice) (#9 NET, #3 AO, #31 AD)
- Texas Tech (#10 NET, #55 AO, #2 AD)
- Oklahoma (#42 NET, #74 AD, #37 AD)
- Texas (#16 NET, #42 AO, #9 AD)
- TCU (#43 NET, #112 AO, #25 AD)
That is insanity. In our first TEN league games we had to play a no worse than #37 AD with our putrid offense. With those numbers by other teams and our offense sputtering it's no shock we are 3-7. And let's be clear, there are a LOT of P5 schools that would have our same record or worse with this schedule thus far.
Here is where the optimism comes in...
We have 8 games left...
- at West Virginia (#62 NET, #106 AO, #32 AD)
- vs Kansas State (#72 NET, #89 AO, #39 AD)
- at TCU (#43 NET, #112 AO, #25 AD)
- vs Oklahoma (#42 NET, #74 AD, #37 AD)
- vs West Virginia (#62 NET, #106 AO, #32 AD)
- at Kansas State (#72 NET, #89 AO, #39 AD)
- vs Oklahoma State (#61 NET, #153 AO, #16 AD)
- at Baylor ((#5 NET, #9 AO, #17 AD)
I'm in no way saying the schedule is easy from here on out. But it is EASIER. By a lot. The next week will tell us a lot. If we go to Morgantown and lose a close one and get 65+ points it will suck but I can live with that. But if we can't score and get blown out and then come home and lay an egg against KSU then sadly I think the shot at the NCAAs is toast.
Think about this...what if...IF...we go 2-0 next week. I know that is a huge ask after what we've seen lately. But I'm trying to be the optimist. Say we go 2-0...we'd sit at 18-7 and 5-7 with a game at TCU looming. If we can go to TCU and win (again...huge task especially with how we sucked against them at home) then we'd get two VERY winnable games at home. That happens and we're suddenly 21-7 and 8-7 with two winnable games in front of us at KSU and vs OSU.
Do I really think this will happen? No. But just looking at who we've played against who we have left...I'm not as much as a cliff-jumper as I was just hours ago. I do think this game at WVU is massive. If we can pull that out and then KSU at home I can 100% see us stringing some wins together and all of a sudden NCAA is a sure thing.
Take this or leave this post. I know it's a big of sunshine pumping. All games in this league are brutal. But we've gotten the most brutal out of the way. We'll see how we do against the other teams now jockeying in our same position.
Go Cyclones!