I mean, what he could say is a week ago when he was talking about states without SIP as if they were all operating business as usual, he clearly was not counting Iowa, because at that very moment one could go online and compare what was actually mandated closed, enforced and suggested in Iowa vs. NY, the Epicenter of US-COVID-19, and see there was and is almost zero difference.
I love Fauci, but the fact that he's an expert in his field doesn't make him like some all-seeing eye that knows everything about every place like you want to believe