someone help with with econ 101. if everyone says it's overvalued then why are people buying it at these prices? why isn't it going back down to $2,500/acre or whatever...
A few of the reasons, or at least the mentality that leads to the reasoning;
1. The "They're not making more land" or "This chunk will never come up for sale again in my lifetime" mentality.
2. Two or three neighbors duking it out over the neighboring farm.
3. As previously explained, land is the last ag commodity to "correct." When and how much it happens remains to be seen.
4. Investors were in large part responsible for driving the land values up based on business decisions. Farmers are the ones that are keeping it there with emotion.
5. Long term tenants that feel like they've already paid for the farm over the years they've been renting it, so they want to have the land to feel like they have something to show for it.
6. There was a lot of cash built up in the ag sector from ~2008-2012. Depending on how well healed some older operators were prior to that time frame, they may still have a good portion of it left and land is the most likely place for them to spend it. That purchase will have very little to do with the economic viability of the decision.
I'm not saying I agree or disagree with any of the above, nor is this list all inclusive, but these are all reasons I see and hear when people are discussing land purchases.