I was actually going to post a similar thought in another thread, but decided to delete it in fear of being mocked. IMO, if I were Texas, I'd be looking at the Big 10 hard. They would jump at the chance to add Texas and the windfall of money in locking down that area of the country with the Big 10 network, would be huge. It's no harder path to the playoff than the Big 12 and would probably be a huge increase in money.
The only thing I see preventing it, is Texas ego. I'm not sure they'd like to move where they weren't the dictating Big Dog of the conference. I have a feeling if Texas is really going to share everything, the SEC is where they would want to be. Then again, I never thought Nebraska would bury their ego in favor of money either. So is their goal an easy path to the playoff, more money, a combination of the two, or is their goal to prove they have the ability to dominate college football again.
In any case, I see the PAC 12 as their last landing spot. Yeah, possibly an easier path, but in the end, they'll take a hit on money without really improving any recruiting or prestige for their program.
I sure hope not.
I think UT, even being the crying rich bithc babies they are, like being here with control. If they bolt, they won't have that kind of control in another conference.
OU scares me a bit - I could see them bolting and that just not leaving enough left. If that happens I think the dominoes begin to fall and this ship crashes with all the rats grabbing anything dry they can. And ISU is not a big rat - we could get wet.
I was actually going to post a similar thought in another thread, but decided to delete it in fear of being mocked. IMO, if I were Texas, I'd be looking at the Big 10 hard. They would jump at the chance to add Texas and the windfall of money in locking down that area of the country with the Big 10 network, would be huge. It's no harder path to the playoff than the Big 12 and would probably be a huge increase in money.
The only thing I see preventing it, is Texas ego. I'm not sure they'd like to move where they weren't the dictating Big Dog of the conference. I have a feeling if Texas is really going to share everything, the SEC is where they would want to be. Then again, I never thought Nebraska would bury their ego in favor of money either. So is their goal an easy path to the playoff, more money, a combination of the two, or is their goal to prove they have the ability to dominate college football again.
In any case, I see the PAC 12 as their last landing spot. Yeah, possibly an easier path, but in the end, they'll take a hit on money without really improving any recruiting or prestige for their program.
Texas isn't leaving for the Big 10 or SEC to make less money. OU would be the likely target.
I never understood why people say "football is king and basketball doesn't matter" and then say how attractive KU is...
I think the most likely scenario is an extension of the Big 12 GOR similar to what the ACC just did.
Could it happen, yes it could. But I just don't see UT's ego checking at the door and entering the B1G or ACC. I don't think UT would ever go to the SEC. OU might be able to be swayed, but again if they go to any of those three conferences they are no longer the #2 program in the conference. Both schools stand to make as much money as either B1G or SEC can offer and more than what the ACC can offer. What makes them bolt. A B12 with a money healthy OU and UT is a stable conference.
KU means nothing, I am not sure these media guys get it. Basketball is pennies compared to football. It doesn't mean ****. Let alone, I don't think the Kansas legislature would let KU leave the B12 without KSU.
I honestly think ESPN and Fox have said we want realignment to be done. B12 we will pay to get on equal footing with everyone else, expand. The B12 will expand to 12 or 14. They will get paid, they will get a GOR out to 2030 something, and we will have stability for the 15 - 20 years.
I really wonder sometimes if Nebraska had it all over to do again, knowing that the B12 would get paid, if they would move. Once the revenues were equalized within the conference and they got a new windfall of profits, why is the B1G a better home for them. Pretty sure their fans hate it.
You also have the issue with Texas of being far far far geographically removed the Big 10 footprint. Why would Texas want to open the door to their recruiting grounds to schools like OSU & Michigan?
Another reason why Texas isn't coming to the Big 10. They'd just be asking for problems with this move. The Big 10 is in a perfect position right now, the only way they could make it better is kick Rutgers and Maryland out and add OU & OSU.
I know there are a lot of issues with it. I don't believe Texas really wants to leave. It's just a thought of mine, that if they did go, that the Big 10 would be a better spot for them than say the SEC or PAC 12. Geographically, it sucks for them, but I still think it would be easier to convince a kid that OSU and Michigan are too far away for one time a year, if even that with 16 teams. But the SEC move would open up a whole lot more doors they would have to deal with. Even with their lack of success lately, they could jump to the Big 10 and still be the Big Dog.
Why is it so hard for people to due math? The way the big 12 contract is structured Texas stands to make $60 mil+ in 2024..lol..let's see that again..$60 mil+. Big ten contact while great is locked in and doesn't increase every year like the big 12 does. Texas made $50 mil last year from TV while every single BIG team made $30 mil. That's a huge diff. Now in 2023 when the BIG tv deal is up and the big 12 tv deal us up could Texas then Bolt? Of course but why the hell would they when you know if the big 12 expands it will either pocket most of that $1 bill and distribute to the 10 members or use it as leverage and rework a brand new TV deal that will continue to make Tx and OU the richest programs in the country for a very long time TV revenue wise.
It is clear that the networks do not want the ACC or Big 12 to go away...it lessens content. it is exactly why ESPN started the LHN and gave the big 12 a good tv deal.