Being the 2 with #1 UConn in the South is not materially different than being #1 in the South with #2 UConn. I would happily sign up for that right now.
2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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I'd think so but if they lose to Arizona State to end the regular season that could drop them perilously close to a 3 if they drop the first conference tournament game.
My question is if they beat Tech and Arizona State, lose to Arizona but win the conference tournament do they get a 1 seed? That depends on a lot of factors, namely Illinois and UConn losing a game or two, but I think they'd still have a good shot at it even if they lost to Arizona. If they win their remaining games they're locked into a 1 IMO.
Hasn't it been discussed that the conference tourneys don't really carry that much seeding weight?
I think beating Tech and ASU keeps things in the 2 seed area, go 1-2 and that 3 may happen.
The top of college hoops is really loaded.
I can't imagine that the seeds are already determined by Wednesday of Championship week. I'd have to think that the conference tournaments have SOME bearing on their seeding otherwise what's the point of it for teams that are already locks for the NCAA tournament.
For instance, if Iowa State is on the 2 seed line headed in to the Conference Tournament and they beat two of Arizona, Houston, Kansas and Texas Tech I'd have to think that it would be a resume booster. Also, teams on the bubble can absolutely lock in a bid with a quality win or two in the conference tournament, it's happened many times.
2 years ago ISU beat 1 seed Houston by 30 in the B12 tourney and the committee didn't blink. They have pretty much said the only teams affected by conference tournament results are the bubble teams.
Without doing any logic on bracketing and without looking at any information, I've already concluded we are going to be the 2 seed, in a bracket with Michigan as the 1 and Florida as the 3 seed.
I can confidently conclude this, because this is the setup I would least desire.
I can confidently conclude this, because this is the setup I would least desire.
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Anyone know why this isn’t being updated? Mine still shows it is stuck as through 2/18
That user hasn't posted an update to reddit either for 9 days. It must not update automatically.
You mean like this? Lol.
I know we all make fun of Lunardi because he's terrible, especially with the details of location, but there are many bracket predictions that have Iowa St in the Midwest with Michigan. Which may not make much sense if Michigan is 1 or 2 in the snake, and Iowa St is 5. However, I can absolutely see the committee altering Iowa St's overall rank, just to match them up with a more logical regional placement.
As it is with Lunardi's current bracket. The Midwest region adds up to 29, compared to 33, 36, and 38 for the other 3. That would be brutal.
No because the last 1 seed doesn't necessarily get the highest rated 2 seed in their bracket
Fair enough and I do remember them saying that, it really devalues the conference tournaments at least the power conference tournaments which is a shame and makes no sense because you'd figure that neutral court wins/losses would carry more weight but I guess not.
And it wouldn't happen, because 9 would be too big of a gap between the regions.
I think the last games that matter are played on that Thursday. By Friday the field is pretty much set.
One of the specific details that Lunardi tends to be lazy.
It's supposed to be maximum difference of 6 among the true seed numbers, his is 9.
Committee isn't required to reach the 6-point balance, if other elements take precedence, but for a bracket snapshot it's easy enough to get more balance.
Edit: @NENick beat me to it.
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
If we finish 2-1, I think that this team has made a case for itself as a 1 seed. Might not get it, but they'll at least be in the conversation. Losing one extra game beyond that is not going to move the needle a whole seed line when they're really looking at total resume now, not what you did this week or last week.
If we finish 2-1 with our loss being at Arizona we should absolutely jump UCONN for the last 1 seed even if they win out. I have full faith in the committee pulling the old "non con SOS" card. The Big East slate is garbage compared to the Big 12 but I can see it coming from a mile away. Our only hope is the committee docking them for their Q3 loss at home.
This is what we want 100%. Going 2-1 with loss @ Arizona makes a rather strong case for the top 2 seed. I could see UConn losing to St John's simply flipping them and ISU as last 1 seed/ first 2 seed.
It depends on who the loss is to. I think a loss to Arizona State and the 1 seed becomes a longshot although wins against Texas Tech and Arizona would mitigate that. When you're on the bubble of 1 vs. 2 seed, a loss to a bad team could be damaging and conversely a win at Arizona could be what just about locks it in.
Either way, they're certainly in the conversation for a 1 seed which we would have all signed up for 3 games before the end of the regular season.
