2026 investments

How‘s that SpaceX IPO treating y’all? Closed yesterday below the post IPO open price. I would not be surprised if it closes today below the $135 IPO price. Just cratering…
i’m not surprised, there was a heavy dose of excitement going into this thing. Generally, those things will calm down a little bit and once the dust settles and get back to what more of a normal spot should be.
 
How‘s that SpaceX IPO treating y’all? Closed yesterday below the post IPO open price. I would not be surprised if it closes today below the $135 IPO price. Just cratering…
"Sold half my shares of SpaceX at $199. I'm sure I'll regret that, but when I heard it was being valued above Microsoft and Amazon, I chickened out. Nice 48% gain in a week."
 
"Sold half my shares of SpaceX at $199. I'm sure I'll regret that, but when I heard it was being valued above Microsoft and Amazon, I chickened out. Nice 48% gain in a week."
I saw this post, BTW and I’m glad you were able to get in and out like that. I’m guessing you aren’t “regretting” selling at $199 now though.
 
There are people who put their life savings into that thing. Retail “investors” with no idea what’s going on are getting crushed.

Ok, but that happens with any stock. Remember the gamestop/AMC **** show from a few years ago? I'd wager people will be much better off long-term in SpaceX than either of those.

ETA - HIGHLY doubt there's a single person on CF who put their life savings into it. And even if they did, just because it's dipped a bit since IPO doesn't mean it's all the sudden worthless. Betting most buyers are long-term holds.
 
Ok, but that happens with any stock. Remember the gamestop/AMC **** show from a few years ago? I'd wager people will be much better off long-term in SpaceX than either of those.
If they hold they will be for sure. AMC/Gamestop were meme stocks. The problem is, some of these people are going to panic and sell at a huge loss. It will take a year or more to get back what they’ve lost so far. That’s why getting in on an IPO is risky business.
 
If they hold they will be for sure. AMC/Gamestop were meme stocks. The problem is, some of these people are going to panic and sell at a huge loss. It will take a year or more to get back what they’ve lost so far. That’s why getting in on an IPO is risky business.

Risky for retail investors looking to get rich quick, I agree.
 
How‘s that SpaceX IPO treating y’all? Closed yesterday below the post IPO open price. I would not be surprised if it closes today below the $135 IPO price. Just cratering…
Why the negativity over a stock going down? Is this an Elon thing?

Are you surprised? During the next year this stock has a better chance going to $90 to $100 then it does from $200 to $250.

Creates wonderful buying opportunities.
 
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Why the negativity over a stock going down? Is this an Elon thing?

Are you surprised? During the next year this stock has a better chance going to $90 to $100 then it does from $200 to $250.

Creates wonderful buying opportunities.
Look up thread (post #271, specifically). I’m not surprised at all. Has nothing to do with Elon.
 
Historically speaking, June is a flat month for the indexes, with July historically being strong. Then the Aug-end of September period being where corrections occur.

Fun fact, if you invested $100,000 in the S&P 500 on 1/1/1990, here are the returns under a strictly buy and hold scenario, versus selling everything everything 1/31, re-investing 3/1, then selling everything 7/31, and finally re-buying 10/1 every year (according to Gemini):

1782233983507.png
 
Got it. As u stated, this is very normal for an ipo.

Early VC's can sell 20% of their holdings two days after their Q2 earning report (Late July-Aug), but the big timeline I am watching is the 180-day lockup in December (8/9 if my math is right). Normal IPO shares see a big drop after this date, which I will be watching and looking to buy dips
 
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Early VC's can sell 20% of their holdings two days after their Q2 earning report (Late July-Aug), but the big timeline I am watching is the 180-day lockup in December (8/9 if my math is right). Normal IPO shares see a big drop after this date, which I will be watching and looking to buy dips
Elon has one year before all doors open for him.
 
Elon has one year before all doors open for him.
Hasn't he only sold small amounts of TSLA to cover tax obligations and the 2021 acquisition of Twitter (X)?

I doubt he is looking to sell shares (outside of small tax obligations) in a company he controls 85% of. If he sells shares, i'd bet it would be Tesla. Although, I still think a Tesla and Space X merger happens before 6/2027