Thoughts:
- The most similar/relevant matchup would be ISU at OU earlier this season.
- That said, this game is at home and the OU crowd was definitely worth some points in that game
- Will Texas come out as fired up as OU did? I doubt it mostly because OU was hair-on-fire hyped up
- ISU has continued to improve in all areas as the season has gone on
- Despite that talent wise, this isn't a close game on paper
What I think will happen:
When Texas has the ball:
Texas will move the ball both deliberately and with big plays. Ewers will have either plenty of time to throw or will have guys 1v1 making plays when we blitz hard. I still think we are able to get at least 1 takeaway. When/how that happens matters a lot. Every 3rd down will be absolutely huge. I hope to see some interesting blitzes from our defense. The front 7 are going to have to play their best game. Players to watch would be Dom Orange, Malik Verdon, Zach Lovett.
When Iowa State has the ball:
Iowa State will be able to move the ball, but not as consistently. I don't think Texas pass rush gets to Rocco nearly as much as OU's did. A lot will be up to Rocco playing his best game. The run game just won't be there most of the night. It'll only open up if we're either torching them through the air or of ISU is playing from behind. This will be a empty-the-playbook type of game, we'll see at least 2 gadget plays (Easton Dean pass?). I hope to see screen passes, pitch running plays, etc. Players to watch would be Jarrod Hufford & Jim Bonifis vs. Sweat, Jayden Higgins, and the TE group.
I can't really give a score prediction... could be 41-21 Texas or 27-20 Iowa State.