With last night's great win, and assuming we beat KU in Hilton next Wednesday in the regular season finale, we will finish 12-6. Let me tell you fanatics,
there's a chance we could sneak into the third place of Big12 final standings.
Here's my analysis.
First, OSU is done for their regular season. Their record is 13-5 and they are guaranteed the second (WVU finishes 12-6 or worse) or third seed (WVU finishes 13-5). They will finish ahead of us regardless.
Both WVU and Texas will face Baylor. Baylor has a lot to play for in terms of their NCAA seeding, so I fully expect no letdown from them. I will pencil in a loss for both WVU and Texas, which gives WVU 5 losses and Texas 6 losses after their Baylor games.
WVU has two other games against the bottom feeders, both on the road, @KU and @KSU. I'd bet KSU still remembers the meltdown in Morgantown and they are hungry for revenge with their renewed energy after finally breaking through a series of narrow defeats. If WVU fell at the Octagon of Doom, it would give them a total of 6 losses at the end, the same as ours.
Texas has two other games against the bottom feeders as well. One vs OU at home, the other vs TCU on the road. OU has been playing great lately (which makes our loss in Norman look less bad) and could finish the regular season with an overall winning record. If Texas lost either game, they would have a total of 7 losses and fall to the fifth seed for sure.
If both ISU and WVU share the same regular season record (12-6) and Texas finishes 11-7, we hold the tiebreaker over WVU because we beat Baylor, so we will grab the third seed and WVU gets the fourth.
If all three teams finish with the same record (12-6), WVU will get the third, Texas fourth and ISU fifth because we lose in the three-team tiebreaker (WVU 3-1, Texas 2-2, ISU 1-3).
If unfortunately, WVU and Texas hold serves against their inferior opponents, the final seedings will be WVU 2nd, OSU 3rd, Texas 4th and ISU 5th.