Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

Klubber

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 11, 2006
1,447
1,503
113
Aurora, IL
@Gonzo too

to add on to that Im guessing Fox being in the room means they get first pick at the game they want for Big Noon every single week. NBC/CBS will then draft for the remaining games in the same way they do now with B1G/B12.

There's also a possibility that FOX won't be allowed to broadcast B1G games after noon on their main channel to not conflict with CBS/NBC.

In addition, FOX MLB got extended thru 2028 so i don't think that late slot is open for CFB anyways until mid-November.

Either way, a lot of people are freaking out for Big 12 sake but there's plenty of programming to go around still.
Exactly. If ESPN is ready to step up and be a major media partner with the Big XII, that's great.

Let bygones be bygones. It's in their best interest to promote any and all games on ESPN networks, so I don't think we need worry about that as some are.

Broadcasting college football games is basically like a license to print money. There are plenty of eager media partners out there, and I'm confident the next Big XII deal will be a good one.
 

sunset

Well-Known Member
Oct 18, 2006
2,832
1,007
113
San Diego, CA
I watch a lot of AVP beach volleyball. They have tried distributing through both Amazon and YouTube in recent years, in my opinion neither one has been good. It seemed like production was left up to the AVP and the streaming service just aired whatever they came up with, which was not good. It’s probably not a coincidence that the golden years of beach volleyball were back in the day when they were carried by NBC and Fox Sports.
 
  • Like
Reactions: agentbear

cysmiley

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Jun 30, 2012
1,779
1,646
113
One has to think that ESPN wants to P12 to break up and thereby at least some of those schools move to the B12, it's in their interest for that to happen. If the P12 regroups and hangs around for another 5 to 10 years, the moment the B10 comes calling, Oregon, Washington and other schools are going to jump, which puts them on FOX and to their competitor. If not offering the P12 a contract or a dog crap rights deal, and then turning around and offering the B12 the same deal we are getting now to a little better, one would have to think that the Pac 12 members on the fence will jump, thereby forcing the B10 to either take/offer the schools they want from the P12 if any, or risk losing them forever.

Without a doubt, the B10 would rather now sit, finish up their deal, and then 5/10 years down the line when the ACC media rights are coming to an end to choose then. That is why it's important to force their hand, and ESPN could be thinking the same way.
I agree they want less power conferences, but I don't think they care if the breakup is B12 or P12, so hopefully we are the survivors. I think their plan of domination and control (including playoff) has been thwarted by both the BIG12 survival and expansion and B1G strategy and movement. That said, it doesn't eliminate their business desire for more control and less cost agreements (outside SEC) as their college football strategy. Hopefully, we have leverage as we begin formal negotiations next year, especially with ESPN. Go Yormack!
 

AuH2O

Well-Known Member
Sep 7, 2013
11,089
16,932
113
Schools will get in by rankings. Media partner is irrelevant. Wins matter. If wins didn’t matter, the SEC and B1G would have been knocked years ago for playing less conference games and cupcakes non con.

Both conferences have gotten by from beating up on bad teams, and avoiding other good schools. The Big12 has been knocked from playing everyone and having the strongest bottom(other than Kansas).
No I’m saying that if your media partner also is a Big 10 or SEC partner, they can throw their weight around. If it’s in the best interest of ESPN to keep the Big 12 in the playoff picture, then they would not be too keen on SEC deciding with the Big 10 to break away. And if ESPN has rights to the Big 12 it will be in ESPNs best interest.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: SEIOWA CLONE

Daserop

Well-Known Member
Feb 9, 2011
5,633
1,872
113
The Bebop
Mid-American: ESPN owns all MAC games through June 2027. They sublicense a maximum of 12 per year to CBSSN.



Mountain West: CBS and FOX, through June 2026. Includes CBSSN, FS1, and FS2.


American: With ESPN through June 2032.
A minimum of 40 regular-season telecasts per season on ABC, ESPN, ESPN2 and ESPNU, including at least 20 across ABC, ESPN and ESPN2, which represents increased annual exposure across those ESPN networks.

The American Championship game will be televised each year on ABC or ESPN.

New to ESPN’s TV rights beginning in 2020-21 are all Navy-controlled football games versus Notre Dame, plus first pick of the remaining Navy-controlled football games each year (excluding any games versus Army and Air Force). Beyond select Navy football games and select men’s basketball games, all conference controlled football and men’s basketball games from The American will air on an ESPN network or ESPN+. All women’s basketball controlled games will also be carried across ESPN’s platforms



Conference USA: ESPN (~45 FB games), CBSSN and Stadium. Expiration dates not listed.



Sun Belt: ESPN through June 2031.


Good stuff right here!
 

AuH2O

Well-Known Member
Sep 7, 2013
11,089
16,932
113
I absolutely think ESPN would try to destroy the Big 12 if another scenario came along that would be a net benefit to ESPN. They had an active media deal with the Big 12 and tried to do it when the OU/UT opprotunity came along, so why wouldn't they do it again if something else came along that would provide similar benefit?

Just because you don't foresee a scenario today that might cause them to try again doesn't mean one won't come along in the future. Did you foresee the OU/UT scenario?

Like you said, it's just business, and ESPN has shown themselves to be a business partner that will completely forsake the well-being of a smaller partner to benefit their flagship partner. It's not "personal", it's just slimy...
And again, they had upcoming exclusive rights with SEC, exclusive rights with the AAC, and partial rights to the Big 12 along with their main competitor. Dissolving their conference for which they had partial rights to boost value of their current and upcoming exclusive deals would make sense for them. It would never under any circumstance make sense for ESPN or anyone else to get exclusive rights to a league only to destroy or devalue it.
 

exCyDing

Well-Known Member
Nov 29, 2017
4,304
7,613
113
I just want to see a little meat on this bone of "pushing the limits with streaming" because I see little evidence that it's a viable strategy.

You can interpret "pushing the limits with streaming" a couple different ways, maybe more. It can mean you partner exclusively with streaming/tech companies, or it could mean traditional media partners who want to expand streaming capabilities.

But it's pretty telling that ESPN, the biggest broadcasting brand in sports, has put a ton of effort into building out its streaming product and the B1G wanted no part of it. Or that the leagues best positioned to lead everyone into this brave new streaming world - the B1G and the SEC, who have done this before, a decade-plus ago when they created their own TV networks - are pretty content with where things are right now. Or that Apple or Amazon's role in the B1G's new deal, if they have a role at all, seems like an afterthought.

Now, to argue against myself, perhaps even the B1G and SEC think that the future is in streaming but that it's still one media deal away (6-7 years) from really taking hold. Maybe the Big 12 can pioneer the space in that time. But that feels like we'd be out in the wilderness for a few years until the rest of the media landscape catches up, and I don't feel like we can afford that.

As always, I have no idea, and I'm open to having my mind changed.
Streaming is more likely than not the future, and it's already a viable option for whichever conference wants to take the plunge, in my opinion.

Technology isn't the issue. Nor is viewer adoption. More households have a streaming service (95.5 million) than cable (76.1 million). In fact, there are slightly more households with Amazon Prime (76.6 million) than cable and Netflix isn't far behind (75m, but that includes Canada). One of these options is trending down, while the other is trending up.

The Big 10 and SEC revenue models both make a boatload off of their networks because they get a slice of each and every monthly subscription regardless of if the subscriber actually ever turns to that channel. Offering streaming would cut into their Big 10/SEC network viewership, which would imperil their ability to stay on the first tier package, which would imperil the whole operation. In short, they have a model that's working quite well and why mess with it?

If anything, going to streaming could make games more accessible than cable. I have no problem dropping another $20 a month for football and basketball season if it was an option to add it to my Prime or Netflix subscriptions. There's no way in hell I'm going back to paying $100 a month for cable, though. Just going to put this here, but the average cable bill in 2021 was $217 a month.

The Big 10 and SEC will continue with the current model for as long as it makes them more money. When we get to a point where enough people have cut cable that they can make more money streaming than not, I'd expect them to go that way.

I'd be very happy if the Big XII could get a deal to put 2-3 conference games on OTA networks a week and the rest all go to a streaming platform, even if it's an add-on subscription (which seems inevitable). The big matchups would still draw network audiences, but all the rest of the games would probably be more easily accessible than they would if they were on FS1/TNT/USA/ESPN2 and just as accessible if they were on ESPN+.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: CascadeClone

jbhtexas

Well-Known Member
Oct 20, 2006
14,128
4,083
113
Arlington, TX
And again, they had upcoming exclusive rights with SEC, exclusive rights with the AAC, and partial rights to the Big 12 along with their main competitor. Dissolving their conference for which they had partial rights to boost value of their current and upcoming exclusive deals would make sense for them. It would never under any circumstance make sense for ESPN or anyone else to get exclusive rights to a league only to destroy or devalue it.
What about if they only get a partial rights deal with the Big 12 in the next negotiation?

Full rights or partial rights...it really doesn't matter. You, like the rest of us, have no clue what will "make sense" for ESPN in the future.

In any case, barring something totally bizaare like a football/futbol double-header on Telemundo, ESPN is probably going to have at least some of the Big 12 media rights in the future, so we shall see...
 
Last edited:

SEIOWA CLONE

Well-Known Member
Dec 19, 2018
6,618
6,802
113
62
I just want to see a little meat on this bone of "pushing the limits with streaming" because I see little evidence that it's a viable strategy.

You can interpret "pushing the limits with streaming" a couple different ways, maybe more. It can mean you partner exclusively with streaming/tech companies, or it could mean traditional media partners who want to expand streaming capabilities.

But it's pretty telling that ESPN, the biggest broadcasting brand in sports, has put a ton of effort into building out its streaming product and the B1G wanted no part of it. Or that the leagues best positioned to lead everyone into this brave new streaming world - the B1G and the SEC, who have done this before, a decade-plus ago when they created their own TV networks - are pretty content with where things are right now. Or that Apple or Amazon's role in the B1G's new deal, if they have a role at all, seems like an afterthought.

Now, to argue against myself, perhaps even the B1G and SEC think that the future is in streaming but that it's still one media deal away (6-7 years) from really taking hold. Maybe the Big 12 can pioneer the space in that time. But that feels like we'd be out in the wilderness for a few years until the rest of the media landscape catches up, and I don't feel like we can afford that.

As always, I have no idea, and I'm open to having my mind changed.
The B10 already has their own streaming service BTNgo, which requires you to sign up and pay them, so I doubt the B10 would want that content to shifted over to ESPN+
 

ISUcyclones11

Well-Known Member
Dec 11, 2014
3,861
2,558
113
Ankeny, IA
The B10 already has their own streaming service BTNgo, which requires you to sign up and pay them, so I doubt the B10 would want that content to shifted over to ESPN+

If anything the B1G fans that will be hit the hardest with streaming fees. They're going to have at least a few or all of BTNgo, Para+, Peacock, and Apple/Amazon. That would be in addition to their TV service and many will also have to keep ESPN+ for all the pro bball, hockey, and baseball on there.

I get that we all hate ESPN and Im with people on this, but if we can keep it to where ESPN+ is the only streaming service we have then i see that as a big win
 

SEIOWA CLONE

Well-Known Member
Dec 19, 2018
6,618
6,802
113
62
I absolutely think ESPN would try to destroy the Big 12 if another scenario came along that would be a net benefit to ESPN. They had an active media deal with the Big 12 and tried to do it when the OU/UT opprotunity came along, so why wouldn't they do it again if something else came along that would provide similar benefit?

Just because you don't foresee a scenario today that might cause them to try again doesn't mean one won't come along in the future. Did you foresee the OU/UT scenario?

Like you said, it's just business, and ESPN has shown themselves to be a business partner that will completely forsake the well-being of a smaller partner to benefit their flagship partner. It's not "personal", it's just slimy...
Without a doubt I am sure that ESPN would like to kill off both the B12 and the P12, but is that possible? In the future maybe, but now, it's not. One of the two if not both are going to be damaged but will survive, and it would make financial sense now, for ESPN to pick one and try and destroy the other, and move the better teams to the conference that survives. Right now, it looks like the B12 is in a better position to survive than the P12. We have already expanded, picking up 2 very good teams, and 2 teams that should continue to grow now that they have moved into the P5.
While the P12 has to be looking over its shoulder and wondering when and if Stanford, Oregon or Washington are going to jump to the B10? That alone has to make the 4 corner schools worry about their future. I am sure they would all rather stay in the P12, but if the conference does not look like it's going to be their long term, I am sure they will pull a Missouri and jump now, as opposed to ending up in the Mountain West.
 
Last edited:

Pope

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Feb 7, 2015
7,254
16,352
113
They Discussed it as a defensive move for B12 and not additive.
No, they discussed it as an offensive move to obstruct Pac expansion, greatly enhancing the Big 12's chances for gaining the 4 corner schools. Wilner, who is a staunch Pac proponent, said he thinks the Big 12 would be wise to grab SDSU before the PAC does, and I agree with him.

Like Wilner, I believe the Big 12 would be better off taking SDSU and 3 Pac schools than to do nothing and allow the Pac to expand.
 
  • Like
Reactions: FriscoCy

isucy86

Well-Known Member
Apr 13, 2006
7,849
6,425
113
Dubuque
Now that the LHN is leaving, why can't we launch an actual B12 network? Does anybody know?
The Pac12 Network is available in 15M homes nationwide. They have no partner like ESPN (ACCN & SECN) or Fox (BTN) who can bundle the conference networks with their other channels.

But conference networks are small dollars. They exist to show the worst FB games and give visibility to Olympic sports.

ESPN, Fox, NBC, etc pay huge $ so they can put high profile matchups on: ABC, NBC, CBS and Fox. Then show 2nd tier games on ESPN, FS1, etc.

Personally, I have no issue if Big12 3rd tier games are on ESPN+, Prime, Paramount+, etc. If a person has internet access there are no barriers to watching other than paying a subscription fee.

Conversely with BTN, SECN and ACCN you better hope the cable/streaming service includes the channel. Even BTN is only available in 50M homes in base package. More US customer have Amazon Prime!
 
  • Winner
Reactions: HoopsTournament

RustShack

Chiefs Dynasty
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Jan 27, 2010
13,273
7,493
113
Overland Park
Now that the LHN is leaving, why can't we launch an actual B12 network? Does anybody know?
Our negotiating rights come up in a few years, and it will probably come up. But odds are it ends up on a streamer like Amazon.
 

Gonzo

Well-Known Member
Mar 10, 2009
23,454
25,686
113
Behind you
If anything the B1G fans that will be hit the hardest with streaming fees. They're going to have at least a few or all of BTNgo, Para+, Peacock, and Apple/Amazon. That would be in addition to their TV service and many will also have to keep ESPN+ for all the pro bball, hockey, and baseball on there.

I get that we all hate ESPN and Im with people on this, but if we can keep it to where ESPN+ is the only streaming service we have then i see that as a big win
Peacock is free. Apple is $4.99/month. BTN+ isn't a factor for football season.
 

HFCS

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2010
67,643
54,830
113
LA LA Land
Our negotiating rights come up in a few years, and it will probably come up. But odds are it ends up on a streamer like Amazon.

The sooner the better for a program like ISU that has real paying fans compared to most FBS teams, but only 35-40% of an already small cable TV market.

Get this thing closer to who is actually streaming from where and ISU suddenly isn't on the fringes. It's better now than it was in 2010, but not all the way there.