Given the situation statistically Fred made the right call. UNI had no timeouts and there was less than 4 sec on clock. There are a lot of variables..where it's being inbounded...time on clock...timeouts left...etc... It's not clear cut either way.
Not always a good idea to give free throws with time on the clock. Even if he only makes two of the three, or it's only a one and one you still have to get the ball in bounds on their end of the court, something Hogue failed to do late in the overtime period.