SBN ISU Football Article

Discussion in 'Football' started by TheJackWePack5, May 12, 2017.

  1. TheJackWePack5

    TheJackWePack5 Well-Known Member

    Oct 2, 2011
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  2. coolerifyoudid

    coolerifyoudid Well-Known Member

    Feb 8, 2013
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    Thanks for sharing. There's a lot of good info in there
     
  3. Sigmapolis

    Sigmapolis Well-Known Member

    Aug 10, 2011
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    Excellent article. Their article on their projection methodology is fascinating as well..

    http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/2/3/14496224/2017-college-football-rankings-projections

    Just to rank our games in difficulty based on their table...

    88% - UNI
    84% - Kansas
    83% - Akron
    54% - Iowa
    51% - WVU
    47% - Texas Tech
    35% - OSU
    35% - K St.
    34% - TCU
    32% - Baylor
    30% - Texas
    10% - Oklahoma

    WVU and Texas Tech on the road for a bowl game, assuming we beat Iowa at home, is going to be a difficult task to make our way up to six wins.

    Maybe one of those plus a home upset is more the ticket.

    I would love to go 4-0 to start over UNI, Iowa, Akron, and Texas.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  4. CYCLNST8

    CYCLNST8 Well-Known Member

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    Iowa State was pretty good at not allowing big plays, especially against the pass.

    There. That’s the list of things that the Cyclones did well defensively.

    OK. That made me laugh.
     
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  5. TheJackWePack5

    TheJackWePack5 Well-Known Member

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    I too chuckled at that.
     
  6. MrTippet

    MrTippet Member

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    The way I see in there are three groups. You never beat all the teams you think you will. You have to steal one from the top group.

    Must will all 3
    88% - UNI
    84% - Kansas
    83% - Akron

    Must win 2
    54% - Iowa
    51% - WVU
    47% - Texas Tech

    Must win 1
    35% - OSU
    35% - K St.
    34% - TCU
    32% - Baylor
    30% - Texas
    10% - Oklahoma

    That is the formula for a bowl.
     
    • Agree Agree x 10
  7. TheJackWePack5

    TheJackWePack5 Well-Known Member

    Oct 2, 2011
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    This is a great way to look at it.

    And maybe it's just me, but I have a hard time seeing Texas and Baylor as two of the three toughest opponents. But maybe Herman gets them turned around quicker than I think...
     
  8. Cycsk

    Cycsk Well-Known Member

    Aug 17, 2009
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    • Agree Agree x 5
  9. BWRhasnoAC

    BWRhasnoAC Well-Known Member

    Apr 10, 2013
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    Excellent article. I don't get to say that too often when its about ISU football. This journalist put the time in. Only thing I noticed was no mention of Lanning at LB and Mike Johnson is gone correct?
     
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  10. TheJackWePack5

    TheJackWePack5 Well-Known Member

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    I could be wrong but I believe the Mike Johnson situation is fluid with what ends up happening in court.
     
  11. besserheimerphat

    besserheimerphat Well-Known Member

    Apr 11, 2006
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    This guy puts out excellent analysis every year. He actually does this analysis for every FBS team - Kansas and Tech have also been posted recently. I think the Big 12 is the first Power 5 conference he's done.

    His blog (FootballStudyHall.com) in on my daily reading list. There are other contributors who are really good as well - Ian Boyd (a Baylor fan) does some great X and O write ups on the site.
     
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  12. CycloneWarning

    CycloneWarning Well-Known Member

    Jan 14, 2008
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    Must have missed the WVU game.
     
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  13. RustShack

    RustShack Well-Known Member

    Jan 27, 2010
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    Suspended doesn't mean kicked off the team.
     
  14. The_Gent

    The_Gent Active Member

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    Those percentages are ridiculous. Iowa will be 10x harder to beat than TTU. Tech can't run on us nor can they stop it. Iowa, while totally one dimensional, can do both.
     
  15. VeloClone

    VeloClone Well-Known Member

    Jan 19, 2010
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    I have to admit I was surprised they had ISU listed as favored over iowa.
     
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  16. The_Gent

    The_Gent Active Member

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    Tech is garbage. They lost their only great player and their season will rely on a qb that wasn't good enough to hack it at Iowa. That's a win. Lanning is still running...
     
  17. CYCLNST8

    CYCLNST8 Well-Known Member

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    They're really going to miss Beat Hard & Desmond King this fall; especially early. Not only was Desmond a lock down defender, he could flip the field on special teams. CJ was fantastic until he lost his boyfriend & had no idea who to throw to. If we can somehow stuff the run and remember to cover VandeTurd- we have a good chance.
     
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  18. besserheimerphat

    besserheimerphat Well-Known Member

    Apr 11, 2006
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    Iowa is at JTS while Tech is in Lubbock. If you read his Tech write up, they were much better at home than on the road last year. These percentages take home field into account. And anyway the difference between 54 and 47% isn't that great.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  19. CTTB78

    CTTB78 Well-Known Member

    Apr 7, 2006
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    Not surprised by the OU percentage, but I would have hoped we would be about 5% higher on the rest of this group. We can win one out the top five.
     
  20. CascadeClone

    CascadeClone Well-Known Member

    Oct 24, 2009
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    Completely agree, that's how I look at it too.

    But personally, I think Texas in Ames has a much higher win % for ISU than @WV. MUCH higher. That was the one set of %s that didn't really makes sense to me.
     
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