Most likely wins in last 6 games.

LLCoolCY

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I appreciate the effort but considering this team has a loss to Iowa and a win vs #3 Kansas with one possession games of @Baylor UT, @OU (2 OT), Gonzaga, Cinci, and KSU, in between. I have no more or less confidence in any single game going forward. Honestly I have the same confidence in the play of the team going into TCU at home vs WV on the road. weird.

I sense that ISU end the last 6 games at 4-2 but no idea how they end up getting there.
 
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jcyclonee

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The way this team has played ... We could win them all or lose them all.
I'd say that the way this team has played I expect them to lose all the games I expect them to win and win all the games I expect them to lose. In other words, I expect them to win 3 games but not the 3 games I expect them to win.
 

SolarGarlic

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I've said it before but K-State is a must win. If we lose there we have a deep RPI hole to dig out of and the above landscape will change drastically.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/rpi/

I don't know how you came to that conclusion. You don't get punished for losing to a top 50 RPI team on the road. Most computer rankings have us ranked very favorably considering our less-than-sterling record.
 

Gunnerclone

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9-9 is a lock. I don't know why people don't get that. 11-7 is probably a 5-6 seed. I think we finish this at 4-2, maybe 5-1.

Shhhh...I totally agree but don't want to deal with the emos. Don't tell anyone I told you that.
 

ca4cy

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Dec 6, 2009
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Hurt what? Our fans feelings? yes I agree with that. Our NCAA tourney chances? Not really. Our chance of winning the league? Nope. Our chance of being the 3 seed instead of the 4 or 5 seed in the conference? OH THE HUMANITY!!!!!!

Doesn't matter. 10-8 is all that matters.

Agree completely and to that end, the Texas loss hurts since it's one more win we need to pick up somewhere else to get to that number. More or less than any other loss? Probably not, but it's tough to argue that it wasn't at best a huge missed opportunity. I know it was a tough circumstance coming off a game that I'm sure took a physical and emotional toll, but it was also against the 9th place team in the league and played in a morgue, so yeah, I don't think saying it hurt is that much of a stretch. It would have been nice to have that one in the bank and take some of the pressure off of trying to win at KSU or Tech.
 

madguy30

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Wouldn't matter what six games were ahead of us against any given team...the same exact phrase of 'tough last six games' could be said. League is just tough.

And this team is one that doesn't play in a way that surely beats teams, for a variety of reasons.

Just crossing my fingers for 3 total no matter what.

Maybe since they like to keep us on our own toes they'll drop the next three and then pull a 'Just kidding!' and win the last 3.
 
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coolerifyoudid

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We will win all 6 games. I have spoken, so it shall be done. BOOM.

At the beginning of conference season, I would've believed this before "We're going to win at KU"

So, **** it, let's just win the rest of these and start arguing what seed we're going to be in the dance.
 
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DeereClone

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9-9 is a lock. I don't know why people don't get that. 11-7 is probably a 5-6 seed. I think we finish this at 4-2, maybe 5-1.

9-9 puts us at 17-13 for a regular season record. Drop the opener at KC and we are at 17-14. I think that gets us in, I hope that gets us in, but I don't see how that is a lock.

FWIW I think we play well down the stretch, finish 4-2, win a game or two in KC, and end up as a 6 seed.
 
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Goclones1727

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While our RPI isn't going to be great (most likely in the 50's, maybe mid to high 40's), we are pretty much in the top 30 for all other advanced metrics and polls like Kenpom, BPI, Sagarin, etc, which should bode well come Selection Sunday. The committee still favors RPI, but other polls and metrics are taken into account. We should be in good shape if we win 2-3 more games. If one of those W's is Baylor we might be a lock with 2-3 more wins including the conference tourney.

Also, people (actually just cyclonebbfan in this thread) seem to forget the bubble is super weak this year. It's hard to find 68 teams. Yes we didn't perform well relative to expectations but that doesn't mean we still aren't tourney worthy. As other have said, we might have the single best W all year. That should hopefully carry a ton of weight.
 
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CycloneBBFan

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I don't know how you came to that conclusion. You don't get punished for losing to a top 50 RPI team on the road. Most computer rankings have us ranked very favorably considering our less-than-sterling record.

From the NCAA March Madness Bracketology: "The RPI is one of many resources/tools available to the committee in the selection, seeding and bracketing process. Each committee member independently evaluates a vast amount of information during the process to make individual decisions."

http://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball...-bracket-how-68-teams-are-selected-division-i

Some people think a loss to K-State doesn't matter? Amazing.
 
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CycloneBBFan

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While our RPI isn't going to be great (most likely in the 50's, maybe mid to high 40's), we are pretty much in the top 30 for all other advanced metrics and polls like Kenpom, BPI, Sagarin, etc, which should bode well come Selection Sunday. The committee still favors RPI, but other polls and metrics are taken into account. We should be in good shape if we win 2-3 more games. If one of those W's is Baylor we might be a lock with 2-3 more wins including the conference tourney.

Also, people (actually just cyclonebbfan in this thread) seem to forget the bubble is super weak this year. It's hard to find 68 teams. Yes we didn't perform well relative to expectations but that doesn't mean we still aren't tourney worthy. As other have said, we might have the single best W all year. That should hopefully carry a ton of weight.

I don't doubt we make the tournament. Our RPI at the end of season will be the primary determinations for a higher bracket. Our losses to Vanderbilt and Texas relatively killed our RPI. For some to claim a loss at K-State doesn't matter I find ridiculous.
 
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bosco

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Dec 21, 2008
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Hurt what? Our fans feelings? yes I agree with that. Our NCAA tourney chances? Not really. Our chance of winning the league? Nope. Our chance of being the 3 seed instead of the 4 or 5 seed in the conference? OH THE HUMANITY!!!!!!
Gotta agree with Gunner here. At this point in time only thing that matters are wins. Now the losses matter in a sense that it reduces the chances to get those wins.
 

CyTwins

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Jan 20, 2010
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I don't doubt we make the tournament. Our RPI at the end of season will be the primary determinations for a higher bracket. Our losses to Vanderbilt and Texas relatively killed our RPI. For some to claim a loss at K-State doesn't matter I find ridiculous.

You didn't answer my question. You think 10-8 with a loss to Kansas State and first round Big 12 Tourney leaves of out of the tournament?
 

CycloneBBFan

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A loss to a top 50 RPI team on the road does not matter. As long as we win out at home, we will have wins over the current #1 RPI team (Baylor) and a top 35 RPI team (OSU). To claim KSU is a must win is beyond ridiculous.

Nice assumptions. Let's hope your at home psychic proclamations are correct.