Coronavirus Coronavirus: In-Iowa General Discussion (Not Limited)

Discussion in 'Off-Topic' started by Jeremy, Mar 12, 2020.

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  1. Statefan10

    Statefan10 Well-Known Member

    May 20, 2019
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    I was honestly just asking a question to try and figure out what he was saying.. And does this mean we have to wait 6 more days and then the data will be more accurate because it's assuming we will have stronger decisions made by then?
     
  2. F5cy

    F5cy Well-Known Member

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    I'm expecting Gov. Reynolds to announce what amounts to a shelter in place order at today's news conference.
     
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  3. clone4life82

    clone4life82 Active Member
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    when is her news conference?
     
  4. Urbandale2013

    Urbandale2013 Well-Known Member

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    No the model will always be messed up until they fix the assumptions. Don’t have their methodology so don’t know for sure exactly where it’s wrong. Assuming they just take where we are at currently as gospel separately from other factors then that is fine. It really depends on how they factor the next 7 days and the days after that. If they just use a base starting point and use a rate of transmission then it will always be overestimating the next 7 days. The time after that is probably ok.
     
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  5. AuH2O

    AuH2O Well-Known Member

    Sep 7, 2013
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    I see what you are saying, and agree that needs to be taken into account, and I think in most models it is.
    I also think there are models that can or could eventually capture benefits from people changing behaviors due to the guidance despite no SIP, but I don't believe most do. And if they did look at Iowa specific rates, for example, I think it will take a long time until those changed behaviors are fully captured. I think rates in many of the models for non-SIP states are including the initial high rate of change ramp up of the disease when people were slow to change behaviors.
    Conversely I think because there is a definitive start point, SIP rates moving forward are going to look good.
    But I'm arguing that the rate of transmission moving forward in a place operating like Iowa vs if we had official SIP are not going to be that different. That's based not just on observed behavior changes but by looking at rate of change in key metrics in Iowa now that changes in behavior are more widely adopted
     
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  6. ZB4CY

    ZB4CY Well-Known Member

    Dec 17, 2012
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    same time you're supposed to goto the dentist.

    toof hurty.
     
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  7. Statefan10

    Statefan10 Well-Known Member

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    • Agree Agree x 1
  8. Beyerball

    Beyerball Well-Known Member

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    Look..Im not trying to downplay the Virus in any way so let me be clear about that..

    1- Hospitals across America were already at 80%+capacity in the iCU's before this started..Many pts in the ICU were prob infected from HC workers over past 2 months and those ICU pts are now dying.

    2- Mortality rate says its around 2% right now and has gone up a lot in past week bc many of these pts are now around the 30 day mark of being on the Vent. The Mortality rate isn't as high as we see on TV bc the infection rate is far far higher. At the low end let's say number of infections is double (400k is) that would put mortality rate at 1% not 2%..I'm merely guessing but i'd bet there are prob more than 1 million infected or more right now..This would put the real Mortality rate around 0.5%...Still bad but that is approaching normal Influenza level.

    3- Love the example above of the person stocking shelves talking on cell phone with mask..People just aren't trained on proper infection prevention. When you've been in HC for decades you just get used to what you need to do and NOT do. STOP TOUCHING YOUR FACE!!!

    4- Aside from being sneezed or coughed on directly...You cannot catch COVID if you do NOT TOUCH YOUR FACE!!

    5- If you go out..to a store or wherever. DO NOT TOUCH YOUR FACE until you get home and have thouroughly washed your hands...Then touch your face all you want.
     
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  9. Al_4_State

    Al_4_State Well-Known Member

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    Not touching your face is harder than social distancing.
     
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  10. BCClone

    BCClone Well-Known Member

    Sep 4, 2011
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    Second most absorbing location is your junk (thanks pesticide training for that knowledge ). So wash your hands before and after using the facilities.
     
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  11. Cyched

    Cyched Minister of Culture
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    May 8, 2009
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    Im disturbingly more aware of how often my face itches, eyes itch, nose itches, get something in my eye, and so on
     
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  12. Al_4_State

    Al_4_State Well-Known Member

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    I've been washing my hands like crazy, because the day people made fun of Trump for touching his face during a COVID press conference, I realized it's almost impossible for me not to do it. Always have an itch under my eyes, or next to my nose.
     
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  13. CycloneDaddy

    CycloneDaddy Well-Known Member

    Sep 24, 2006
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    Stay safe when driving thru the Johnston ghettos, dangerous out there. I never leave my association without my S&W 45 on my side.
     
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  14. mtowncyclone13

    mtowncyclone13 Well-Known Member
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    Oct 10, 2012
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    i rest my hand on my chin/cheek all the time when sitting at the computer. sucks
     
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  15. madguy30

    madguy30 Well-Known Member

    Nov 15, 2011
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    I was driving so had to quick hand sanitize and then basically scratch an itch on my cheek and sanitize it at the same time.
     
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  16. CyDude16

    CyDude16 Well-Known Member

    Oct 2, 2008
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    Using ghetto as a descriptor for anything in Johnston is beyond hilarious.
     
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  17. ClonesTwenty1

    ClonesTwenty1 Well-Known Member

    May 23, 2018
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    And it didn’t happen. And won’t. Reynolds is going to get rocked by whoever runs against her in 2022.
     
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  18. weR138

    weR138 Well-Known Member

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    ranierwolfcastlethatsthejoke.gif
     
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  19. CycloneErik

    CycloneErik Well-Known Member

    Jan 31, 2008
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    Did she announce anything?
    I actually watched today, and 4 distractions came up right when the ed. secretary came up.
     
  20. ClonesTwenty1

    ClonesTwenty1 Well-Known Member

    May 23, 2018
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    Schools and same businesses closed till April 30. Shelter at home isn’t going to happen is what she basically said. Ever.
     
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