https://www.flowrestling.org/articles/6696942-ncaa-releases-second-coaches-ranking-and-first-rpi Straw and Shapiro have some work to do, but each of the other starters seem likely to earn automatic bids (knock wood).

Degen, Coleman, and Colbray won't get enough matches in at their current weight to qualify for an RPI. You need 15 matches at the weight you are qualifying for. Degen will have 14, and Coleman and Colbray will have 12 assuming they wrestle in the next 4 duals. Given that they won't have a qualifying RPI, they will need to have a 0.700 winning percentage to earn a spot assuming that they stay ranked in the coaches poll. Degen will need to win 2 of the final 4 matches, which shouldn't be a problem. Colbray has to win all 4 (which means beating Steiert). Coleman can't get to 0.700 as he is 4-4 at 184. Anyone want to check the math?

I thought it was 17 for an RPI. Did they just drop it to 15 matches? But you are right Coleman and Colbray will not get an RPI Coleman won't be able to get an autoberth. Colbray can but it will be tight with win %age. He is relying on the coaches ranking as 1 of his 3. Win %age will be the next one. Health and weight changes really can beat up your NCAA allocation process. Last year, we had basically 0 injury issues. Everyone got an RPI.

Wouldn't surprise me to see Coleman, Colbray, Degen, and maybe Shapiro at the last chance open to get some more matches.

Not on our schedule on cyclones.com and was last year so don't think so. Any other schools do something similar?

Coleman is definitely on the fringe. He only has 8 matches at 184 and is 4-4. Wrestling all the duals would get him 12 matches. He would not qualify for RPI nor would he be able to get to .700. There will likely be 4 or 5 allocations at 184. Coleman will likely be 5 or 6 seed. He will either have to pull an upset or hope for an at-large selection. He should definitely qualify for at-large consideration as he should have his 15 matches at 184 and be in the top 30 of RPI and coaches rank (RPI and coaches rank are taken after the qualifying tournaments).

We are. Wonder if Degen, Straw, Coleman and/or Colbray go to Mizz. I don’t expect the other 6 to compete in Last Chance anyway.

Hank Swalla is going to Mizz at 184. So Coleman is staying back. Dresser said other might stay back also. Staff will look at Allocation info & decide

Not knowing who or how many are signed up, hard to say We have a fair amount of 174 & 184 pounders to help out

I believe he would need 4 more matches. If they have 4 entries, he'b be able to get 3 matches if they ran a round robin. Then he could get a match against ND State. This would put him at 15. He can't get to the 70%, but if he holds his coaching rank of 25, his RPI would potentially be in that same range. (he's currently about 22 or 23 per wrestlestat.com). This could get him to the conference allocation and would certainly help his chances to qualify.