2022-23 Season Basketball Predictions

[ClonesFTW]

I think we'll be in the 16-17 win range and need a serious run in KC to make the tournament.

 

[Cyclonepride]

Sucks so much to lose TH. I worry we’re going to find out how much value he added last year and not in a good way. Think we could get to a ceiling of 7-11 in conference, which depending on the strength of the conference could be bubbly. That’s ceiling though.

If TH was still in the fold I’d be saying that not making the tourney would be a bad season. Just takes one guy in basketball. Cavalry is coming though and TL being forced in to a bigger role this season could pay big dividends next year.

I never doubt TJ though, he doesn’t waste time on guys that he doesn’t think will work.

I don't think his defense is replaceable in that position, as he was fantastic at a key spot. However, I think the inside presence offsets that, and he had some weaknesses too.

 

[Gunnerclone]

I don't think his defense is replaceable in that position, as he was fantastic at a key spot. However, I think the inside presence offsets that, and he had some weaknesses too.

And experience was a big one, some of which is getting wiped away via ISU and Texas benefits from. Also I feel like in today’s game your “point” defense is so much more important than interior defense. With the proliferation of the 3 pointer shot-blocking isn’t as valuable as it once was. Steals are automatic turnovers, shot blocks aren’t. Therefore steals are more important than shot blocks. I realize there’s more too interior defense than shot blocking but that ability to disrupt at the point of attack is so so key in CBB right now.

 

[CycloneRulzzz]

I think we take a step back this year but as long as we make any kind of postseason I will be happy. This season is the appetizer for next season which will be the prime rib entrée.

 

[Cyclonepride]

And experience was a big one, some of which is getting wiped away via ISU and Texas benefits from. Also I feel like in today’s game your “point” defense is so much more important than interior defense. With the proliferation of the 3 pointer shot-blocking isn’t as valuable as it once was. Steals are automatic turnovers, shot blocks aren’t. Therefore steals are more important than shot blocks. I realize there’s more too interior defense than shot blocking but that ability to disrupt at the point of attack is so so key in CBB right now.

True, though I think that having a shot blocker allows perimeter defenders to play tighter as they don't have to worry quite as much about getting beat off the dribble.

 

[1UNI2ISU]

Year Two is always harder than Year One for some reason.

I'll say .500ish and an NIT bid dependent on staying on the right side of .500.

But, hoo boy. look out for 2023-24.

 

[Cyforce]

Just did a double take on that Top 25 graphic. Big 12 absolutely brutal again this year. Wonder what odds you can get on a bet of any Big 12 team to win the national championship?

50/50

 

[Halincandenza]

This team is very hard to predict. Same problem I had last year. I don't know what to expect form a lot of these guys except I know they will be good defensively.

 

[Halincandenza]

I don't think his defense is replaceable in that position, as he was fantastic at a key spot. However, I think the inside presence offsets that, and he had some weaknesses too.

This. You don't have to have elite defense at the guard spots with an eraser inside. I don't think the drop off at his spot will be huge on defense and adding shot blockers to the team has actually made it so the defense has the potential to be better.

 

[MartyFine]

 

[RustShack]

Someone emerges every year as the primary scorer. We will have one again this year. Likely Holmes.

 

[nallen34]

Here is a breakdown of our 4 known P6 nonconference opponents. All winnable games imo. But I think we go 1-3 or 2-2.


Nova-lost in final four last season

Lost--Jay Wright
G-Gillespie 15.6 ppg
F-Samuels 11.1 ppg

Return
Sr G-Moore 14.8 ppg--out with Achilles injury until Dec/Jan
5th Yr G-Daniels 10.3 ppg
Jr F-Dixon 9.1 ppg
5th Yr F-Slater 8.5 ppg
So G-Longino-1.8 ppg
Sr G-Arcidiacono-1.6 ppg
So F-Njoku-top 100 in 2021
So F-Patterson-top 50 in 2020

Add
Fr F-Whitmore-top 15 in 2022--questionable for PK with thumb injury
Fr G-Armstrong-top 55 in 2022
RS/Fr G-Brizzi-top 175 in 2021
Fr G-Hausen-Top 125 in 2022


St. John's-17 wins last season

Lost
G-Champagnie 19.2 ppg
F-Wheeler 10.0 ppg
G-Smith 6.3 ppg
G-Coburn 4.3 ppg

Return
Jr G-Alexander 13.8 ppg
Jr G-Addae-Wusu 8.5 ppg
5th Yr G-Mathis 8.2 ppg
Sr C-Soriano 6.4 ppg
So F-Stanley 3.0 ppg
So G-Pinzon 3.2 ppg
Sr F-Nyiwe 2.3 ppg

Add
Jr F-Jones 14.5 ppg at Depaul
Jr G-Curbelo 7.5 ppg at Illinois
Fr G-Storr-top 100 in 2022
RS/Fr F-Traore-top 300 in 2021
Fr G-King-top 300 in 2022


Iowa-5 seed last season

Lost
F-Murray 23.5 ppg
G-Bohannon 11.0 ppg
G-Toussaint 4.3 ppg
G-Ash 2.9 ppg

Return
RS/Jr F-McCaffery 10.5 ppg
Jr F-Murray 9.7 ppg
Jr G-Perkins 7.4 ppg
5th Yr F-Rebraca 5.8 ppg
So F-Sandfort 5.0 ppg
Jr G-Ulis 3.1 ppg
5th Yr G-McCaffery 2.5 ppg

Add
Fr G-Bowen-top 150 in 2022
Fr G-Dix-top 150 in 2022


Missouri-12 wins last season

Lost
G-Pickett 11.1 ppg
G-Davis 9.0 ppg
G-Coleman 8.6 ppg
G-Gordon 8.3 ppg
F-Brazile 6.6 ppg
F-Keita 1.2

Return
Sr G-Brown 12.5 ppg
Jr F-DeGray 8.3 ppg

Add--Cleveland St coach
Sr G-Mosley 20.4 ppg at Missouri St
5th Yr G-Hodge 15.4 ppg at Clev St
Sr F-Carter 15.0 ppg at UNI
5th Yr G-Gholston 14.3 ppg at Milwaukee
RS/Sr G-Honor 7.7 ppg at Clemson
5th Yr G-Gomillion 10.5 ppg at Clev St
Jr F-Diarra-#1 juco recruit
Sr G-East-#2 juco recruit
Fr F-Shaw-top 60 in 2022

 

[NWICY]

View attachment 104422

Dang 5 B12 teams in the top 25. Should be some good games in Hilton this winter.

 

[BryceC]

7-0: IUPUI, NC A&T, Milwaukee, ND, McNeese State, Western Michigan, Omaha
1-1: Iowa and St. Johns
2-1: PK40
7-11: Big 12
1-1: Big 12 Tourney

18-14, NIT

 

[mj4cy]

Try to lose 2 noncons or less and shoot for 500 in the big 12 are realistic goals for me.

We need to make Hilton a complete buzzsaw for opposing teams to play in again.

 

[Malty Flannel]

Just went game by game through the schedule, and I have us at 12-1 non-con with the loss against Nova opening round of the Phil Knight, then 10-8 in BXII with losses:
Baylor
@TCU
@KU
@TTU
KU
TCU
@texas
@BU

21-9 overall, 5thish in conference, win the opening game of the BXII tourney, 22-9 going into the tourney

 

[cyclones500]

Just went game by game through the schedule, and I have us at 12-1 non-con with the loss against Nova opening round of the Phil Knight, then 10-8 in BXII with losses:
Baylor
@TCU
@KU
@TTU
KU
TCU
@texas
@BU

21-9 overall, 5thish in conference, win the opening game of the BXII tourney, 22-9 going into the tourney

I'd sign up for that right now.

 

[Clonefan32]

Pretty nervous coming into this year. As others have mentioned, Year 2 seems to be a little harder. Plenty of tape now for the very talented coaches in this league to break down.

I also don't think it can be overstated how many times Brockington bailed us out on offense. I'm real nervous about who can fill that role and where our scoring comes from.

Add in a freshman point guard and I think we'll be lucky to get to 15 wins. I hope I am wrong.

 

[CyPunch]

Same. I think the 23-24 team is going to be what TJ ball is supposed to look like 100%. Its nice knowing that while shooting will be bad again this year it shouldnt stay like that.

We're getting all those pieces at a great time too because next years league isnt going to be much easier

I'll believe it when I see it

 

[CyPunch]

Try to lose 2 noncons or less and shoot for 500 in the big 12 are realistic goals for me.

We need to make Hilton a complete buzzsaw for opposing teams to play in again.

That's 20+ wins. We'd be greatly overachieving if that's the case. I hope so, but will need a lot to break our way.