2019 Big 12 Win Predictions

Discussion in 'Football' started by farm85, Jun 28, 2019.

  1. farm85

    farm85 Active Member

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    https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/2019-big-12-win-total-picks-predictions-oklahoma-the-favorite-again-but-can-texas-leapfrog-its-rival/

    Iowa State:
    8 wins: The Cyclones are a trendy pick to make the Big 12 Championship Game (12-1 odds to win it, per FanDuel). Personally, I'd take those odds if you're looking for a dark horse. This team is well-coached, has an excellent quarterback in Brock Purdyand -- gasp! -- a stingy defense. However, the schedule is tough. The Iowa game is always a toss-up, and the Cyclones get Oklahoma and Texas in back-to-back weeks in November. Plus, consecutive road trips to West Virginia and Texas Tech in mid-October is just setting up for an unexpected loss. Oddsmakers have this win total just about right, but given the round number, I'll take the over. -- Over +106, Under -124
     
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  2. madguy30

    madguy30 Well-Known Member

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  3. Cyched

    Cyched Well-Known Member

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    Are you trying to give me a rod? Because that's how you give me a rod
     
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  4. Aclone

    Aclone Well-Known Member

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    I’m not worried about Texas Tech or WVU this year.
     
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  5. LarryISU

    LarryISU Active Member

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    Looking at recruiting, we usually finish 6th or 7th. No wonder so many of our games are won or lost on a razor's edge. We really are overachieving if 8 wins happen, at least if you trust in the recruiting ratings. Good coaching? Strength and Conditioning? Ratings too subjective?
     
  6. awd4cy

    awd4cy Well-Known Member

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    Agreed, I also think KSU is in for another tough year as well.
     
  7. cyclones500

    cyclones500 Well-Known Member

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    I started a thread, but you beat me to it by about a day. I hadn't seen it prior to that. @madguy30 alerted me.

    So I'll repost my hunches, taking into account schedule strength and game locations.

    Over:
    ISU (my play-it-safe fandom says "push")
    Baylor
    Kansas
    Oklahoma State

    Under:
    Kansas State
    Oklahoma
    TCU
    Texas
    Tech
    West Virginia
     
  8. Aclone

    Aclone Well-Known Member

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    At some point, recruiting ratings are directly impacted by the law of diminishing returns.

    For example, looking at some of the “top” recruiting classes yesterday, I noticed schools that had, say, four highly rated defensive tackles committed, or four defensive ends, plus three or four defensive tackles.,

    Sure, that pushes the rankings—but they can’t all be on the field at the same time. And that doesn't even consider the highly rated signees in the classes before or after this one.

    Redundancy. There is such a thing as “too much of a good thing”.

    Then, as far as our own “comparative” ratings are concerned, this staff happens to be very good at identifying talent that is better than the rating given by the services. That’s a prevalent theme.
     
  9. madguy30

    madguy30 Well-Known Member

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    Also to me they're good at finding where a player fits per their strengths.
     
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  10. LarryISU

    LarryISU Active Member

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    Look at Tarique Milton, a .7993 rating. Yet that kid has good speed, knows how to get open, and seems to catch anything near him. Plays like a .8993!
     
  11. Aclone

    Aclone Well-Known Member

    Dec 14, 2007
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    Pretty sure that Tariq was rated that low because no
    One expected him to qualify. The staff signed him on the quiet, and when he made grades, having faith in him paid off.

    Something similar with Joe Scares—except that his offers were so far off the chart, he was never downgraded. And the staff stuck with him.
     

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