2017 Iowa State advanced statistical profile

cdface

Well-Known Member
Oct 28, 2014
4,504
5,051
113
Behind Enemy Lines (IC)
a net 55% chance to win 6 or more games seems a little high looking at these individual win probabilities, so for giggles i'm trying to recreate that 28% probability to get exactly 6 wins based on those numbers (there are 126 remaining outcome combinations to get there).

granted it's hard to eyeball these things when combinatorics are involved, so the fact that they don't look right doesn't mean all that much, but it will still be fun to check the math.
 

ZB4CY

Well-Known Member
Dec 17, 2012
2,801
4,526
113
Agree. The whole Defense in general has been very surprising.

Heacock deserves a lot of credit.