Rose colored glasses. No way is ISU favored at 57. And 41 and 49 are definitely favorites for Iowa. ISU is only truly favored at 65, 74, 84 and even those are very small favorites.
I agree it is possible that ISU could win all those matches, but ISU could absolutely also lose all of those matches. In the best case scenario ISU is down 9-0 with 25 and hvy. More likely 11 or 12 down.
If we came away with 4 wins I’d think that is pretty good, and would feel very good about a 5/5 split. Even with a split, not making up that bonus.
ISU would need to win 6/10 matches. If you give us 65, 74, 84, we’d need to win 3 out of 5 toss ups at 33, 41, 49, 57, 97. Just extremely unlikely to do down in Carver. Impossible, no. <10% chance.