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  1. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I agree restructuring could work to our advantage, but the schools don't need PE to do that. Once the current media deals run out there's nothing stopping the P4 from getting together, forming an new subdivision, aggregating media rights, and moving teams into geographic divisions. Or at least...
  2. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Is there a reason we're courting PE investments rather than getting a loan or having the general fund cover any shortfalls like a normal athletic department? Expecting things to get better after we sell off equity/control to outside entities sounds more like hope than a plan, and the proposals...
  3. QBEagles

    Big 12 championship standings tiebreakers. Handy charts

    I think in the everyone at 6-2 but BYU wins scenario: - If Tech wins over WVU we need both Cincy over TCU and Baylor over Kansas. - If Tech loses I think we're good.
  4. QBEagles

    2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections

    We can't be eliminated if we beat Utah. I think we would control our own destiny if ISU, BYU, Kansas, K-State, and OSU all win this week, but that's a long shot.
  5. QBEagles

    2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections

    Looking at this week's outcomes (and assuming we win out): BYU & Colorado win - Basically screwed. Would need BYU to lose at home to Houston the last week. BYU & Kansas win - If everyone holds serve the last week it's a tie for 2nd between us and Colorado, which would come down to a proxy war...
  6. QBEagles

    Back in the Top 25 at #22 in AP

    Eh, there were plenty of complaints about the formula. At its best it was 1/3rd AP poll (the thing we're complaining about now), 1/3rd Coaches or Harris (worse versions of the AP poll), and 1/3rd computers of varying quality that couldn't account for margin of victory and for the most part...
  7. QBEagles

    Kansas Game Thoughts (Defense specifically)

    Football is definitely an adapt-or-die sport, and while we have a good coaching staff, they are adverse to change. There's more Ferentz in Campbell than a lot of us are comfortable with. That said, switching the base defense in a few days isn't a realistic solution. I know we did a mid-season...
  8. QBEagles

    ***2024 CFB Week 10 (Oct. 29-Nov. 2) Games Thread***

    Kinda bored tonight, so put together a preview for the week. TL;DR, root against ranked teams and for past opponents for ISU playoff chances. You probably knew that already. Friday Night San Diego State @ #15 Boise State (-23, 60% to make playoff per Bet365) Boise is the odds-on favorite to...
  9. QBEagles

    Upcoming rankings will be interesting

    Things would have to change pretty dramatically for a 12-1 B12 team to get left out. There's nothing close to a historical precedent for that. Ironically, the closest match I can find for a 12-1 non-champ, non-brand name with a bad SoS is 2015 Iowa, who would've been in comfortably at #5. Even...
  10. QBEagles

    Upcoming rankings will be interesting

    I'd certainly be willing to bet a We Will donation on that (unless that's against the rules). The committee has it's biases, but they've never even left an 11 win power team outside the new cutline, much less 12.
  11. QBEagles

    Root against the other teams at the top, right?

    I get the cynicism that a 9-3 brand name will get the nod over a 10-2 B12 team, but do people actually think a 12-1 non-champ is getting left out of a 12-team playoff? We already ran this test case with TCU in 2022.
  12. QBEagles

    2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections

    And to stay somewhat on topic it doesn't look like betting markets are quite as high on us as the Massey projections, but looking at what the odds imply we're about: 1 in 3 to win the conference 4 in 7 to make the title game 1 in 6 to go 12-0 2 in 5 to win 11+ in the regular season 3 in 7 to...
  13. QBEagles

    2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections

    I'd be surprised if the current B12 configuration ever has a top 10 team on talent (as determined by recruiting rankings). I went back through 2010 on 247 and didn't find a single year where any of us were in the top 15. NIL and the TV money gap probably isn't going to make that better. I think...
  14. QBEagles

    AP Poll #10

    Brando reminds me of late-stage Musburger. Good announcer voice, enthusiasm is still there, polarizing because he's not afraid to stir the pot, but not very accurate on the call.
  15. QBEagles

    Last possession against WVU

    Going with defense because it's the better unit, and you almost always want to be ahead. And that's how we always win. When's the last time we scored a last possession TD? 2020 vs Texas is the closest I can think of, but the D still had to hold them to a long missed FG.
  16. QBEagles

    ***2024 Week 1 Games Thread***

    Fun fact: Western Carolina is coached by this guy
  17. QBEagles

    Big 12 Conference Realignment

    I'm under no illusions that this isn't a 12-team invitational with the goal of making as much money as they can get away with, but I think that translates to SEC/B10 teams getting credit for 1-1.5 more wins than B12/ACC teams depending on their brand name. 2022 TCU is getting in at 12-1, they...
  18. QBEagles

    Bracketology 2024

    It won't do anything to our metrics. Any SOS bump would be negligible, and they're solidly a Quad 2 win either way. And more practically if the committee had discussions about the last #1 seed, they likely already happened. They're probably dealing with the bid thief chaos and bracketing today...
  19. QBEagles

    Net Rankings vs. SOR

    Even if you take margin of victory out of the equation, the Big 12 is still 1st in ELO and RPI. And beating up on weak opponents was the opposite of how you'd want to manipulate RPI. Running up the score does technically help in efficiency metrics, but it's not that significant. And regardless...
  20. QBEagles

    Bracketology 2024

    I'm a fan of SOR-type rankings, but they wouldn't do all that well compared to most bracket matrix predictions. They're way higher on mid majors than the committee. The ESPN version has Dayton as a 2, Indiana St as a 5, and GCU as a 6 right now. Mostly because SOR gives some credit to teams that...
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