There is nothing that says those experts/professionals/people in elevated positions are guaranteed to be good at their jobs or know what they are doing. A healthy amount of skepticism is a good thing. Half of any population is by definition below the median, and you are right there are all sorts of ways that incompetent people can arrive in such positions through various means. I have met plenty of morons with degrees from Harvard, Yale, and Princeton out here who only went because of admissions practices that preference legacies, their family names, and/or their parents ability to pay for the tutoring and test practice from early childhood to drill them on meeting the admissions standards.
I have met plenty of geniuses from those places, too, but I have met as equally intelligent people with degrees from places like Penn State and Minnesota, as well.
What you are wrong about though is are those various expert populations any better or worse than the whole of the population if you were to just choose somebody randomly off the street. Yes, some basketball coaches are not good basketball coaches, but Prohm is a better coach than any one of us by several miles. I think you are also underrating just how complex the world is... nobody knows anything, even sometimes with those who spend their lives dedicated to studying a single subject. That is not a failing on their part or on a field's fault, but rather just a somber acknowledgment that the world is a complex place and conditions can change extremely quickly. This is the weirdest spring recruiting cycle we will ever have, but I think waiting for guys who can move the needle on Prohm's part is a better strategy than filling up for filling up's sake. Better to have the open spots for late transfers, if the transfer rule opens up, for midyears, or for freshmen next year than to stock ourselves with Jeff Beverly and Prentiss Nixon clones, right?
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