I think this program is in a much deeper hole than a couple good transfers can dig out of. Bolton and Solo are the only two guys we can really have confidence in being solid players next year. Conditt could be in that convo but he's regressed as competition has gotten tougher.
Everyone else seems to have a role player ceiling and could be recruited over. I'm betting a couple of the rest of the guys improve but it's unrealistic to think 4 or 5 guys are all going to step up and prove themselves, especially since some have had 2 or 3 years in the program to do so. Jackson has a long ways to go but I'm probably most confident in his improvement. Everyone else is a crapshoot.
Realistically, this team needs to bring in 2 starting caliber players, ideally 2 transfers , Johnson needs to be a big 12 caliber player, a couple returning role players need to make big strides and probably 2 or 3 of the incoming fr need to be ready the day they step on campus. That's a pretty tall order and I have doubts the staff is up to but I think the only way we are sniffing the dance next year is if we're looking at:
A starting 5 of:
Bolton
Transfer
Johnson
Transfer/Blackwell
Solo
With the bench being:
Jackson
Conditt
At least 2 of the fr/TL/Zion/transfer Blackwell beats out
(Grill is at least another year from being a rotation guy IMO)
On paper, even without knowing the entire roster, this team should be longer and more athletic, a couple of shooters via transfer would be just what the dr orderd.
This is assuming we lose at least one person in addition to Tyrese, I think that's going to be the minimum but tried to include everyone above . If that isn't the case and we are only looking to replace Tyrese this spring, next year won't be much better than this year.