New Bracketology

[Farnsworth]

why do you people feed him?

 

[JusHappy2BeHere]

This is an excellent bracket seeding site with a ton of information all in one spot.

http://www.seed-madness.com/

 

[VeloClone]

This is an excellent bracket seeding site with a ton of information all in one spot.

http://www.seed-madness.com/

Three 1 seeds from the Big 12 would be crazy.

 

[CloneLawman]

12 big ten teams projected! Wth! http://m.espn.com/ncb/bracketology?src=desktop

A

 

[cyclones500]

51 51 UNI MVC 14-3 5-2 1-1 8-0 2-0
92 92 Bradley MVC 13-6 2-4 1-1 10-1 1-0
96 98 Loyola Chicago MVC 13-6 3-2 2-2 8-2 1-0
108 107 Indiana St. MVC 9-8 1-6 2-2 6-0 1-0
133 135 Missouri St. MVC 10-10 2-5 1-2 7-3 0-0
142 140 Drake MVC 12-6 2-5 2-1 8-0 2-0
148 142 Valparaiso MVC 9-10 3-7 1-2 5-1 1-0
174 175 Southern Ill. MVC 9-10 0-7 1-2 8-1 1-0
216 216 Illinois St. MVC 5-13 0-7 0-3 5-3 1-0
262 259 Evansville MVC 8-11 3-4 1-2 4-5 1-0

Wins against which of these teams is going to make UNI rocket up the NET rankings? They are all 92 or worse, with half of the league at 140+.

They have already played Bradley on the road so they won't be able to get a 92 road win added to their resume. The best they can hope for is beating #96 Loyola on the road. That's still barely a Q2a game. Everything else is Q2b or worse, even MVC tournament games. Other than Loyola, Indiana State is even the only remaining road game that could get them another Q2b win. Everything else is Q3 or worse.

Good work with the compilation.

You're right, UNI isn't climbing any higher with that schedule. There isn't even much there for what's happened already. A Quad 1 win (Colorado) and a Quad 2 (South Carolina) ... Quad 1 loss vs. West Virginia. Anything else I'm missing in the non-con?

 

[VeloClone]

Good work with the compilation.

You're right, UNI isn't climbing any higher with that schedule. There isn't even much there for what's happened already. A Quad 1 win (Colorado) and a Quad 2 (South Carolina) ... Quad 1 loss vs. West Virginia. Anything else I'm missing in the non-con?

Nope.
http://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2020/team-net-sheet?team=Northern-Iowa

Bradley is now NET 101 so that road win slips down to a Q2b win. Loyola on the road is their only chance for a Q2a win unless Bradley magically starts climbing in the NET rather than staying put or falling like they have been.

So they are 1-1 in Q1a, 0-0 in Q1b, and 0-0 in Q2a with very little chance of improving those top 3 divisions.

 

[1UNI2ISU]

Nope.
http://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2020/team-net-sheet?team=Northern-Iowa

Bradley is now NET 101 so that road win slips down to a Q2b win. Loyola on the road is their only chance for a Q2a win unless Bradley magically starts climbing in the NET rather than staying put or falling like they have been.

So they are 1-1 in Q1a, 0-0 in Q1b, and 0-0 in Q2a with very little chance of improving those top 3 divisions.

Old Dominion, Marshall and Grand Canyon all being unexpected dumpster fires killed the non-con schedule. UNI was counting on them being Q2b or, at worst, Q3 games and they all turned out to be Q4.

Still ahead of where Belmont was last year. I figure if UNI can finish 14-4 in the league and then lose Sunday in StL, they'd end up with a trip to Dayton. That said, let's just win the tournament and take all the suspense out of it.

 

[Deleted member 8507]

Old Dominion, Marshall and Grand Canyon all being unexpected dumpster fires killed the non-con schedule. UNI was counting on them being Q2b or, at worst, Q3 games and they all turned out to be Q4.

Still ahead of where Belmont was last year. I figure if UNI can finish 14-4 in the league and then lose Sunday in StL, they'd end up with a trip to Dayton. That said, let's just win the tournament and take all the suspense out of it.

D+ . . . . . (never forget)

 

[goody2012]

This exactly. Maybe many of these guys hit on 66-68 of the teams that actually make it when they post their last predictions the week of Selection Sunday. I doubt they are nearly that accurate when you look at their predictions a month and a half out.

Of course they're not very accurate a month and half out. They're not predicting how the season will play out, they are predicting how it would look at that time.

 

[VeloClone]

Old Dominion, Marshall and Grand Canyon all being unexpected dumpster fires killed the non-con schedule. UNI was counting on them being Q2b or, at worst, Q3 games and they all turned out to be Q4.

Still ahead of where Belmont was last year. I figure if UNI can finish 14-4 in the league and then lose Sunday in StL, they'd end up with a trip to Dayton. That said, let's just win the tournament and take all the suspense out of it.

And the preemptive excuse making begins...

 

[VeloClone]

Of course they're not very accurate a month and half out. They're not predicting how the season will play out, they are predicting how it would look at that time.

So they can never be proven wrong and it would be ridiculous to tout that early predictions are gospel based on these guys being X% accurate at the end of the season as our hawk dressed as a panther was doing.

 

[Doc]

I hope UNI gets in to give me someone to cheer for. We need to find some big wing players that can shoot.

 

[goody2012]

So they can never be proven wrong and it would be ridiculous to tout that early predictions are gospel based on these guys being X% accurate at the end of the season as our hawk dressed as a panther was doing.

Yep, really the only accuracy rate considered should be at the end of year.

 

[VeloClone]

Yep, really the only accuracy rate considered should be at the end of year.

So it is an invalid argument when a guy uses that end of year percentage as validation for the predictions they make halfway through the season. I'm glad we agree.

 

[1UNI2ISU]

And the preemptive excuse making begins...

Nah, no excuses. Scheduling is a total crap shoot.

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

Old Dominion, Marshall and Grand Canyon all being unexpected dumpster fires killed the non-con schedule. UNI was counting on them being Q2b or, at worst, Q3 games and they all turned out to be Q4.

Still ahead of where Belmont was last year. I figure if UNI can finish 14-4 in the league and then lose Sunday in StL, they'd end up with a trip to Dayton. That said, let's just win the tournament and take all the suspense out of it.

The Valley isn't getting two bids. Even with wins, UNI's NET is going to continue to fade off.

 

[Lafaester54]

If the ship was righted and we won the Big 12 tourney (our only path, I think) what be our seed? I’m thinking 9/10 at best.

 

[UNI1ISU2]

If the ship was righted and we won the Big 12 tourney (our only path, I think) what be our seed? I’m thinking 9/10 at best.

11 or 12

 

[Drew0311]

If the ship was righted and we won the Big 12 tourney (our only path, I think) what be our seed? I’m thinking 9/10 at best.

I would say play in game 11 seed. We don't just have losses. We have some bad losses.

 

[1UNI2ISU]

I would say play in game 11 seed. We don't just have losses. We have some bad losses.

Can't play in the play in game if you win the conference tournament....