Official: ISU one of the unluckiest teams of the year

heitclone

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We had some tough breaks but even average special teams play would have had us at 9 or 10 wins. A lot of those mistakes were on us, not luck.
 

madguy30

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Nov 15, 2011
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Missing assignments and not tackling soundly aren't bad luck.

I think CMC has been great at acknowledging where ISU failed on the season and hopefully they at least look crisp coming out in that first game.
 

mj4cy

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You could argue we could have been 11-1 in the regular season (KSU being the one we weren't really close in).

You can also argue 5-7. The UNI and Texas wins came down to the last second.
 
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adjl

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Any metrics that have the Big Ten, especially the Big Ten West ahead of the Big 12 in football this year are automatically deemed invalid.Therefore this thread is null and void.
 

dualthreat

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I'm tired of all this lucky or unlucky crap. What year was Rhoads here and our opposing coaches called us "The best 1-8 team in the country!"

Who gives a rats ass start winning some games and prove it
 

Omaha Cy

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ISU was lucky that Purdy didn't throw more picks vs OSU. They dropped quite a few that game. OSU was unlucky in that regard.

I'm sure the Baylor loss had some unfortunate plays/calls, but ISU gets a stop on that last drive and Clones win. Not blaming the D, just sayin' what we all know.

OU had the PI on the 2 point play, but It also looked like CK was open and could have won that game. Its goes both ways there, and even with PI ISU would still have needed to convert on the next play.

This ISU team had some great players, and was in general a really solid team. They lost as a team, when the offense no showed 1st half vs Baylor. Defense no-showed 1st half vs OU. O-line got man handled vs KSU. ST screw up vs Iowa which didn't give the offense the chance.

A lucky bounce here and there would have helped, but ISU had critical lapses all year making that hill much harder to climb. ISU didn't seem to get their **** together until they were in a hole. You can't consistently do that and expect to win each week.
 

ca4cy

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Dec 6, 2009
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ISU did a terrible job of making their own luck. How many games did they drop multiple interception in the games they lost? How many times did they bat the ball up in the air and not get the pick? Some of that is being unlucky, but some of it is execution.

This. Luck didn't keep Hall off the field until 1/3 of the season was over, cause poor play calling/execution in the red zone, or give up more 3 & 15+ on D than most of us care to count. We could've used some breaks for sure, but we took advantage of very few opportunities. I don't call that bad luck.
 

madguy30

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ISU was lucky that Purdy didn't throw more picks vs OSU. They dropped quite a few that game. OSU was unlucky in that regard.

I'm sure the Baylor loss had some unfortunate plays/calls, but ISU gets a stop on that last drive and Clones win. Not blaming the D, just sayin' what we all know.

OU had the PI on the 2 point play, but It also looked like CK was open and could have won that game. Its goes both ways there, and even with PI ISU would still have needed to convert on the next play.

This ISU team had some great players, and was in general a really solid team. They lost as a team, when the offense no showed 1st half vs Baylor. Defense no-showed 1st half vs OU. O-line got man handled vs KSU. ST screw up vs Iowa which didn't give the offense the chance.

A lucky bounce here and there would have helped, but ISU had critical lapses all year making that hill much harder to climb. ISU didn't seem to get their **** together until they were in a hole. You can't consistently do that and expect to win each week.

Did ISU really have any games where it felt like they were really flying around and crisp in their approach?

The first half of the Texas game comes to mind as maybe about as 'up' as they looked all season.
 

DarkStar

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Sep 15, 2009
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Tech's loss to Baylor should have counted as 2 unlucky losses.
How would you score Tech's loss to KU? Blow a 17 point lead. Fumble the blocked field goal attempt to give the ball back to KU and a second shot at the winning field goal.
 

madguy30

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How would you score Tech's loss to KU? Blow a 17 point lead. Fumble the blocked field goal attempt to give the ball back to KU and a second shot at the winning field goal.

Standard bad luck because the last play was player controlled.

It's double bad luck when the refs show they don't know the rules.
 

besserheimerphat

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Apr 11, 2006
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A lot of people are misinterpreting what is meant by "luck." In any game, you generate all these stats that are correlated with/predict winning. But at the end of the game you either win or lose. This analysis is saying that based on the game-by-game stats generated by our team against our schedule, we would have been expected to win 9 of those games. The weird stuff that happens - running into our own punt returner against Iowa, the not-a-fumble fumble returned for a TD by UNI, etc. - causes us to lose games we played well enough to win, but is generally not repeatable year-to-year. If our luck regresses to the mean next year, which it presumably will, we should have a really good year.
 
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