Ignoring some of the laughably bad takes about lightning tomorrow... here's a little bit of info about why you should
not be worried about a cancellation tomorrow.
1. And tell me how many delays in the history of Iowa state football. I’ll tell you—-4. 2 last week, 1 last year that ended up cancelled, and I think 1 before the Kansas game started 2 years ago. That’s a bad, bad trend.
This is not a trend, this is bad luck over the past couple years. Thunderstorms happen pretty frequently in Iowa. It was only a matter of time before a couple of games experienced thunderstorms. The canceled SDSU game was a combination of a late kickoff and horrendously bad luck with storms (it took a looooonnng time before we even got rain that day).
Right. And we're seeing an increase in thunderstorms in September - which has ramifications for outdoor sporting events.
I'm not quite sure this is true, at least for now. Thunderstorms have and always will be fairly common in the Midwest in September, and I'm not sure if any data source at the moment shows a clear trend. Of course... part of this is due to the increase in technology (see below).
I would also imagine as technology to detect lightning strikes has improved and become more available to institutions, they have more awareness of where and when lightning strikes are occurring.
Years ago teams just kept playing because there was very little technology available to track storms. And detecting lightning strikes is also relatively new.
For everyone's safety, I am happy the technology exists. It's quite rare to be struck by lightning, but if you are.......
These points are both accurate. Back several years ago, ISU meteorology students (I believe typically grad students) were often in the press booth with a limited amount of data options. Since then the NWS has taken over support, though they are not responsible for cancelling/delaying games - that responsibility is still through a combination of a lot of Iowa State/Story county emergency management people.
The real story in the last decade is how much better meteorologists are at detecting lightning. The NWS has access to three or four lightning data networks that have update times of a minute or less, with incredible accuracy. Even the public has a few lightning maps freely available now. The software programs used for data processing have made significant improvements. Heck, even the radars themselves have gone through two significant upgrades in the past 10-15 years - the first gave resolution twice as good as before, the second allows for us to detect hail and other fancy stuff.
While all of this means that you are in fact likely much safer than before, it comes with the expense of potentially more delays. But I think that's a fair tradeoff for everyone.
Now when it comes to tomorrow... can anyone tell me the last time you remember getting thunder for 12 hours straight? I'm not sure if that's ever happened before here... so maybe we're overreacting just a bit?
Go to the game, it'll be OK.