On about June 4th, 14% of the crop was in good condition. Anything planted after that is automatically in poor condition due to its late planting and that's not to mention it was put into **** conditions. There are a lot of acres that won't be planted, period and the ones that are aren't good. Obviously this summer could provide drastic swings but the ceiling is not high. Maybe it won't get to 123 on intended planting but it won't be much better. For reference, 1993 is what has been compared to this year and it was a 101 bushel year. This year was (and I assume still is) tracking worse than that as far as planting progress. Advancements will add to that but genetic advancement, for instance, isn't of use as much because it hasn't really evolved to help us withstand excess water. People will say that year was exceptionally cold all year, which is true. 1991 was similar as well but summer was extended and harvest was exceptionally long. Yield that year was 108.
I'm talking about production of the intended acres. That won't be in the math of reported average yield later on. Sure, it could be like 150 but we haven't accounted for unplanted acres.