Ranking travel paths to the final four

HFCS

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Aug 13, 2010
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For years I've beat friends in pools by focusing on playing location. ISU and Cinci really jump out this year as sub 4 seeds that got great potential playing sites.

I've complained a ton over the years about where we've had to play but this year we can't complain. We're 50 miles closer to Tulsa than Houston.
 

mj4cy

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Iowa
For years I've beat friends in pools by focusing on playing location. ISU and Cinci really jump out this year as sub 4 seeds that got great potential playing sites.

I've complained a ton over the years about where we've had to play but this year we can't complain. We're 50 miles closer to Tulsa than Houston.

I still think the committee is basically saying "yes ISU, you should be a 5 seed, but we'll give you the midwest and Tulsa for the first round"

I'll take that over a better seed.
 

HFCS

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I still think the committee is basically saying "yes ISU, you should be a 5 seed, but we'll give you the midwest and Tulsa for the first round"

I'll take that over a better seed.

This year with some of the 1 seeds being so good I wanted a 6 unless we could get a 3.

Compare our chances against Kentucky in KC to against Duke anywhere.
 
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awd4cy

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Our chances of beating Kentucky are probably 25% and UNC is under 10%. I think we got a decent shot to get there though.
 

cdface

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Our chances of beating Kentucky are probably 25% and UNC is under 10%. I think we got a decent shot to get there though.

i disagree. i think it's 50-50 or better we take Kentucky down if we get to them. our problems are typically with disciplined teams. if we beat Houston, i think we probably beat the Wildcats.
 
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Cyclonepride

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Here's 538's odds, which don't take The Hilton South Advantage into consideration for the last two games:

ISU over Ohio State: 67%
ISU over Houston: 45%
ISU over UK: 37%
ISU over NC: 35%

That's about as good as you could hope for as a 6 seed. Throw the location on top of that, and despite a tough region overall, I think we made out very well. Now we just have to play with the same intensity and desire that we had in winning the Big 12 tournament.
 
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cdface

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Here's 538's odds, which don't take The Hilton South Advantage into consideration for the last two games:

ISU over Ohio State: 67%
ISU over Houston: 45%
ISU over UK: 37%
ISU over NC: 35%

Seems pretty fair. We will need the crowd to show up for Houston though! And start buying tickets for Kansas City now, if we lose early at least you can still profit most likely. And if not.....!!!
 

IlliniCy

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Here's 538's odds, which don't take The Hilton South Advantage into consideration for the last two games:

ISU over Ohio State: 67%
ISU over Houston: 45%
ISU over UK: 37%
ISU over NC: 35%
I don't think they're taking The Hilton Far South Advantage into consideration either. I don't know how Houston travels, but I know how Iowa State does.
 

BillBrasky4Cy

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For years I've beat friends in pools by focusing on playing location. ISU and Cinci really jump out this year as sub 4 seeds that got great potential playing sites.

I've complained a ton over the years about where we've had to play but this year we can't complain. We're 50 miles closer to Tulsa than Houston.

Iowa State hit a home run on Tulsa and there will be a ton of affordable tickets to be had. If it's Iowa State and Houston in the second round we will outnumber Houston fans and it won't even be close.
 

BillBrasky4Cy

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I don't think they're taking The Hilton Far South Advantage into consideration either. I don't know how Houston travels, but I know how Iowa State does.

Houston can't even fill their own arena, I don't think they will come close to out numbering us in Tulsa.
 

alarson

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Houston can't even fill their own arena, I don't think they will come close to out numbering us in Tulsa.

FWIW they have, generally, been filling their own arena the latter half of this season.

Of course, capacity for them is like 7100.
 

BillBrasky4Cy

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FWIW they have, generally, been filling their own arena the latter half of this season.

Of course, capacity for them is like 7100.

I was just watching their game against SMU couple Thursday nights ago and there were a ton of court side seats open.
 

mj4cy

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Iowa
Our chances of beating Kentucky are probably 25% and UNC is under 10%. I think we got a decent shot to get there though.

Who knows. We controlled Kansas while not shooting particularly well. Imagine if we played with that intensity and shot lights out.