Hard to pick. Depends too much on what other teams do. For instance, if there is a true bottom feeder and a runaway leader this year, then everything else could be up for grabs.
Ceiling 1/Floor 10. We lost so much talent last year that we just won't know what we have until they all get out on the floor together and grow as a team. Perhaps they click and they go on to have yet another special year - or perhaps they don't click and we have a long season for the first time in a minute. Just no way of telling right now.