If I bet the farm in the cyclones, I would probably lose a farm.
Texas Opens as a 4.5 Point Favorite
- Thread starter chuckd4735
- Start date
I'm having a hard time seeing a scenario where Texas' offense can score enough points to win. Against Power 5 competition this year, their offense is averaging 15 ppg in regulation. They lost one starting OL against SJSU and their best OL (LT Conner Williams) against USC. Consequently, their run game pretty woeful right now and pass pro has some questions marks. Their QB situation is also up in the air: does Soph Shane Buechele start coming off an injury to his throwing shoulder? Or does true Frosh Sam Ehlinger get the nod, with his higher upside but greater propensity for mistakes? Do both play? They have one receiver who is a true playmaker (6'6" Collin Johnson). The Cyclones DL and LB have been reasonably good against the run this year and have had some success getting to the QB. Of course, our DBs have had some issues this season with guys being out of position and getting beat deep, issues Texas will certainly attempt to exploit. But when you add up their work-in-progress OL, flaccid run game, unsure QB situation and dearth of playmakers on offense, how many points can we really expect them to score?
Was just talking about this. Plenty still on The ISU exchange/Ticketmaster for face value. Need to get some people in those seats.
Well thought out post. I think the problem will be our ability to handle their front 7. Last year their DL destroyed us ... mostly the same guys. Their DL is way better than eiu. I don't think we can score a lot, and I really don't trust our defense. We have a chance to win, no doubt. Our defense will need to really step up, because I doubt we score a lot. I expect a close game, with the winner getting 24 points. To me it is an absolute toss up- hope we win.
With a game like Texas/Iowa State, you have to figure the Texas line will get inflated by 2-4 points just because of name. Iowa State is a much better point spread play than Texas, no doubt, but I wouldn't touch this game with my own money, maybe with @ChrisMWilliams money I'd put $100 on ISU +5.5. 
Should be a very interesting game. I don't think we know enough about either team to make a good prediction at this point. Doubt Iowa State gets into the 40's on this one, but it sure would be fun.
There isn't a "God I hope you're right" icon so I'll tell you...
God, I hope you're right!
Agreed. So tough to try and figure out where both teams are right now early in the season.
Texas is going to try to do exactly what they did last year. They will try to run Chris Warren right down ISU's throats.
I remember Charlie Strong being quoted saying something along the lines of "we ran two plays the entire second half".
They basically imposed their will and I assume they'll try to do the same and go play action off of it for their big plays.
I hope they do try to run straight at ISU. The DL on this year's team is light years better than last year, especially if they can get J. Johnson back for more depth. The linebackers are looking better than the first couple games too. Can't believe they will come out running with their lack of success against USC, and being down two starters on the OL.
Honestly, I am way more concerned about their defense and return teams. They have score a lot of the Longhorns points this year.
Now up to 6? Surprised given our home field and both teams' starts. Another .5 and I'm in for easy $.
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/matchups/
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/matchups/
That line is solely based on looking tough against USC.
The line actually opened at -4.5, and went down to -4 in about 20 minutes, but then started going back up from there.
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college...t/[email protected]/date/09-28-17
An overrated USC team at that. I feel good about this game, I don't think Texas is very good.
