No it isnt what we think, it is him doing the math. He isnt a top 20 recruit so the Diallo comparison is dumb. The combo of a good juco pg already in board, a possible Monte and Prohm saying he would still take Strong a regardless of Simpson plus multiple veterans at the 2 (Cooke, Thomas, Babb) is enough for him to know their is a decent chance minutes could be tough to come by in year one. It isn't rocket science.
The guards that are on our roster aren't exactly that intimidating. If he's good enough, he'd play.