Michigan just got run out of their own building by an Illinois team that just got absolutely smoked by Duke. They've been very overrated all year. A&M might be next and have dropped 4 in a row. Kentucky is 10th in their own league. Hard to expect them to be one of the top 8 overall. I think TT, MSU, St. Johns and Wisconsin will be the main competition for the last 2 and the rest of that group will be 3's.
Agreed. I don't see any way to put Michigan or A&M or KY in front of us unless we crap the bed. I also think we're in front of Wisconsin based on strength of schedule, but they will be favored in their next two games and will push us for seeding.
Unless Michigan St or St Johns take a bad loss, I think the committee take them in front of us. They want a Big 10 team and Pitino in there before us, and that Oklahoma State loss is very fresh in their mind.
Honestly, I'd put both in front of us. MSU has a better record and just beat 4 ranked teams in a row. St Johns' schedule has not been as hard as ours, but they have a total of 4 losses on the year by a combined 7 points. They've been solid all year.
It's a long shot, but I could see a situation where Alabama falls out of the 2 line. They play Florida and Auburn to finish the season. If they happen to lose both, they'd end up with a 23-8 record, while ending the season losing 5 of their last 7. That would definitely kick us out of a 2 seed.