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Bracketology 2024

Gunnerclone said:
When I read that blurb I was shocked. I was like, “is that the best road record in the league?”.
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Houston had the best road record at 6-3, after that it would be a five-way tie for second at 4-5. So in this league that's not a bad record at all.

Especially this year when we seem to see a higher number of games across college basketball where ranked teams were losing to unranked teams on the road. This year was arguably harder than normal to notch those road wins
 
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I'm sure it's changed a bit (this was back in mid-season) but I saw a stat posted on reddit that unranked home teams had a 53% (or something similar) winning percentage at home against top-15 opponents, when historically that is usually something like 30%.
 
cydnote said:
Just my opinion, but I think that when the shots aren't falling, that is our go to offense. How many times has Tamin driven into the lane and made the layup or drew the foul to get some points on the board and eventually changed the flow of the game in a positive way? I think CuJo is asked to do the same at times and what is viewed by some as hero ball is actually a planned strategy. It's great when it works and it's ugly when it doesn't but I think it's more of a plan than not especially when the defenders are risking foul trouble
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I gave @cycloneworld an "Agree" for the general post regarding "fatigue," I think you make a good counter-point about the hero-ball aspect. It appears that way at times when our offensive flow isn't working, and looks awkward as heck. But Lipsey (and not as often recently, Gilbert) attempt to force action to the rim when offense bogs. Sometimes it kick-starts, other times it fails. Former has worked more often than the latter if we view it broad-picture.

It's better if we don't "rely" on that. But as you say, it may be more strategic than random individualism. (The team/program doesn't seem built that way).
 
In the non-con schedule and early on in conference play, Tamin had a slick little hesitation move he'd use to get to the rim for a layup. Haven't seen it for a while.
 
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twincyties said:
Bad loss or not there are a lot of teams fighting for that 2 seed. Us, Duke, Arizona or Tennessee, Marquette, Baylor, Creighton, etc.
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We lost, so did Duke, Baylor, Kansas etc. We are still solidly a 2 on bracket matrix today. People way overreact to a single win and loss this time of year. We have still had a hell of a season that stands up well.
 
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NorthCyd said:
I don't know why. It was not a bad loss by any measure.
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Yes. It was a Q1 loss after all. The reason why I say that is you have 5 teams (used to be 6 but Kansas fell off a cliff) vying for the last two 2s: Marquette, Creighton, Baylor, Duke, and us. All of us are very close in resume and metrics. Marquette and Creighton are the leaders in the clubhouse at this point.

There’s very little margin between any of those teams, so one loss/win can move any of those 5 up and down a seed line. I don’t believe any of those 5 are at risk of falling below a 3 seed though.

I’m also going to stress this (which I’ve done numerous times in my comment). I don’t think it’s a big deal if we’re a 3 seed rather than a 2, and in many scenarios I’d prefer it. So I don’t really care if we’re a 2 seed or not.
 
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Cloned4Life said:
Agree. If Williams/Blum said something along the lines of “it isn’t down that much” then I cannot take much of what they are saying seriously. Every metric (and if we’re being honest - even in the eye test) tells us our offense has been terrible since Houston, and spiraling into an increasingly negative trend.

We’re seeing a crazy drop in the KP OE metrics in just a matter of weeks - it’s unheard of to drop THAT much that fast this late in the season.

And no, it doesn’t mean we can’t turn it around and it doesn’t mean we can’t still make a long/fun postseason run. It simply means what it is - we’ve been bad offensively for several weeks. Really bad.
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Is it possible, with a “crazy” drop, that we hit a strange aberration in the metrics? Computer models and algorithms are interesting and useful, but they still aren’t infallible and metrics can’t measure intangibles well (and our team relies on those heavily), and metrics don’t win games.
 
SolterraCyclone said:
Yes. It was a Q1 loss after all. The reason why I say that is you have 5 teams (used to be 6 but Kansas fell off a cliff) vying for the last two 2s: Marquette, Creighton, Baylor, Duke, and us. All of us are very close in resume and metrics. Marquette and Creighton are the leaders in the clubhouse at this point.

There’s very little margin between any of those teams, so one loss/win can move any of those 5 up and down a seed line. I don’t believe any of those 5 are at risk of falling below a 3 seed though.

I’m also going to stress this (which I’ve done numerous times in my comment). I don’t think it’s a big deal if we’re a 3 seed rather than a 2, and in many scenarios I’d prefer it. So I don’t really care if we’re a 2 seed or not.
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I think we could easily be ahead of both Creighton and Marquette right now. Nobody is in the clubhouse yet. Conference tournaments will give any of these teams the opportunity to separate themselves with a couple more good wins if someone makes a run.
 
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