So, next year, the Twins are on the books for Sano, Donaldson, Polanco, Kepler, Dobnak, Maeda and Colome for about $48 million.
They have team control on Alcala, Gordon, Arraez. Rortviedt, Kiriloff, Jeffers, Ober, Celestino, Rooker, Thorpe, Duran, Balazovic, Enlow and should cost around 600k each. Not everyone of them is going to be on teh roster the entire year, but lets be conservative and say they are, thats another $8 million.
For arbitration, I'm just guess Rogers (10), Duffey (5), Theilbar (1), Farrell (1), Berrios (12), Buxton (10), Tortuga (1) and Garver (4). Thats a total of $44 million.
In total, thats $100 million in payroll and they'll probably go up to $125. To remain competative, they probably need 2 SP and 2 RP in free agency, and $25 million to get that isn't likely to cut it. Trading Sano would jump that to $35 million and trading Polanco would jump it to about $41 million.