Take from this what you will
View attachment 71436
That chart is not accurate. I can see why there was a misunderstanding based on the article cited as the source, though. What the person who made the chart pretty obviously did was take the number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 (the red bar) then read that there were 3,000 excess deaths compared to an expected year, so back into the blue bar by taking COVID-19 deaths + 3,000 minus total 2019 deaths. There was no mention of the number of deaths due to other causes in the article and the chart maker made an erroneous inference.
That would be a misreading of what's actually happening though. That 3,000 number referred specifically to an additional ~8,000 deaths that were *not* initially attributed to COVID-19. The initial quoted article left off some context about those numbers (from
https://www.silive.com/coronavirus/...was-bigger-than-we-even-fully-understood.html):
"But the city’s Health Commissioner Dr. Oxiris Barbot said Wednesday that the city was still trying to figure out whether the 8,184 “not known to be confirmed or probable” deaths were coronavirus-related or not. Barbot said it was possible a portion of those deaths are.
“The importance of this number in terms of deaths not known to be confirmed or probable COVID-19, it’s important to take it within the context of the same number of deaths during that same time period in the previous year,” Barbot said.
“What we find is there are roughly 3,000 deaths above what would have been anticipated and I think only time will tell about what that number really means," she continued."
Instead, it's quite likely that the number of deaths related to COVID-19 is actually an *under*estimate in many places of the true level based on an analysis of excess deaths (see:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html).
I realize that a lot of this is kind of hard to understand based on the original articles, but TL;DR: the chart's incorrect, and it's more likely than not that COVID-19 deaths are (so far) actually understated in NY.