Many college football fanatics read Steele's magazine each summer. While reading it and his blog from June 30 I noticed ISU was a team that met some of his trends. Last yr ISU was 3-9 and Sportsbooks have O/U @ 3.5 for 2014.
ISU netted 3 close losses last yr. ISU won 1 game by a TD or less but lost 4 by a TD or less. Over the past 12 yrs teams with 3 net close losses have same or better record 79.6% of the time the following yr.
***WV game counted even though 8 pt win (triple OT)
Defensive yards per point. Last yr opponents averaged 1 pt for every 12.86 yards. As we know this is not good! 2 teams had over 500 yards offense vs ISU, 1 team over 600, and 1 team over 700. The positive is since 1990 teams in this category have same or better record the following yr 69.4% of the time.
Lastly Steele has ISU a +3 on his stock indicator. This factors in performance over the past few yrs. Since 1990 teams with a +3 have same or better record 73.7% of the time.
In conclusion, 3.5 wins could be a tough wager to make. However, if u have a friend or know someone who is an ISU hater you may be able to bet them O/U 3 wins. If ISU wins 3 you push and 4 you win. Much better than the 3.5. Maybe someone can win a case of beer off a buddy using this info!
HAVE A GREAT DAY CYCLONE NATION!!
ISU netted 3 close losses last yr. ISU won 1 game by a TD or less but lost 4 by a TD or less. Over the past 12 yrs teams with 3 net close losses have same or better record 79.6% of the time the following yr.
***WV game counted even though 8 pt win (triple OT)
Defensive yards per point. Last yr opponents averaged 1 pt for every 12.86 yards. As we know this is not good! 2 teams had over 500 yards offense vs ISU, 1 team over 600, and 1 team over 700. The positive is since 1990 teams in this category have same or better record the following yr 69.4% of the time.
Lastly Steele has ISU a +3 on his stock indicator. This factors in performance over the past few yrs. Since 1990 teams with a +3 have same or better record 73.7% of the time.
In conclusion, 3.5 wins could be a tough wager to make. However, if u have a friend or know someone who is an ISU hater you may be able to bet them O/U 3 wins. If ISU wins 3 you push and 4 you win. Much better than the 3.5. Maybe someone can win a case of beer off a buddy using this info!
HAVE A GREAT DAY CYCLONE NATION!!