Very Early 2/21 Weather Thread

cowgirl836

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Sep 3, 2009
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Oh, he's a meterologist...it MUST BE HIS FAULT!!!!


:jimlad:


(Thanks for all the quality info)


I'm a farm kid, so we ragged on the weathermen plenty.........gotta blame someone when it rains all over your hay and no rain was forecasted :jimlad: (even though it wasn't their fault)
 

wxman1

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I'm a farm kid, so we ragged on the weathermen plenty.........gotta blame someone when it rains all over your hay and no rain was forecasted :jimlad: (even though it wasn't their fault)

Well if you wouldn't grow as much you would have less evapotransperation and less moisture to rain.
 

FDWxMan

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Jan 31, 2009
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At FDX: What's your prediction for Monday's storm? Heard some pretty outrageous things.

To be honest I really haven't gotten into that yet... this first one has taken most of my attention. But I'll look at it here in a bit.

Tough sometimes for models to deal with two storms back to back. If it is off on the first then its projecting the second storm from an already incorrect solution.
 
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MissouriCyclone

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Jul 24, 2011
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To be honest I really have into that yet... this first one has taken most of my attention. But I'll look at it here in a bit.

Tough sometimes for models to deal with two storms back to back. If it is off on the first then its projecting the second storm from an already incorrect solution.

Work your magic and bring it here. I have 3 classes on Monday.....

Just don't make it cancel/postpone the KU game....
 

CYvilEng

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Aug 20, 2012
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I fly out of Baltimore on Friday at 5pm to DSM with a layover in Chicago. Supposed to arrive in DSM at 10pm. What are my chances on coming home on time?
 

Cyclonesrule91

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Apr 10, 2006
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Man the Earl's website(even though I figured out there is no Earl) really upped the totals overnight so Des Moines and Ames looks to be ground zero. I know this is raw data(again, from this thread), but it appears the Sunday into Monday storm must go growing in totals as well.

Earl's GIS Radar Site Overlays Page
 

blizzisu

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Man the Earl's website(even though I figured out there is no Earl) really upped the totals overnight so Des Moines and Ames looks to be ground zero. I know this is raw data(again, from this thread), but it appears the Sunday into Monday storm must go growing in totals as well.

Earl's GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

That includes the snow coming on Monday which is looking like it will drop 1" of rain and 10" of snow. We are still on track for 6-8" in the metro today.
 

Cyclonepride

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www.oldschoolradical.com
Man the Earl's website(even though I figured out there is no Earl) really upped the totals overnight so Des Moines and Ames looks to be ground zero. I know this is raw data(again, from this thread), but it appears the Sunday into Monday storm must go growing in totals as well.

Earl's GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

I do not like that prediction. Therefore it is wrong.
 

chuckd4735

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Man the Earl's website(even though I figured out there is no Earl) really upped the totals overnight so Des Moines and Ames looks to be ground zero. I know this is raw data(again, from this thread), but it appears the Sunday into Monday storm must go growing in totals as well.

Earl's GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

120 hr = 5 days = Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday
 

2020cy

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Aug 7, 2006
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After all that's been said its a pretty damn accurate forecast for a week out. Totals close and only missed timing by maybe a half a day. Not bad.
 

Iastfan112

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Apr 14, 2006
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That includes the snow coming on Monday which is looking like it will drop 1" of rain and 10" of snow. We are still on track for 6-8" in the metro today.

To be fair, the American models did trend wetter this morning. If they were to verify 8-10 might be more likely in Des Moines.

As far as the next system goes, its not showing anywhere near that much rain(none at all the past few runs). CMC and Euro both stay far enough south its all snow as well.
 

blizzisu

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Nov 4, 2009
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To be fair, the American models did trend wetter this morning. If they were to verify 8-10 might be more likely in Des Moines.

As far as the next system goes, its not showing anywhere near that much rain(none at all the past few runs). CMC and Euro both stay far enough south its all snow as well.

HPC Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts - 48-hour Totals for Days 4-5 and Days 6-7

Looks like some precipitation to me. It could be warm enough that it's mostly in the form of rain though.
 

Judoka

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Jun 16, 2010
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I fly out of Baltimore on Friday at 5pm to DSM with a layover in Chicago. Supposed to arrive in DSM at 10pm. What are my chances on coming home on time?

Colonel Mustard. In the Library. With the candlestick.

Did I get it? I always suck at word problems.