Assuming no RW:
Depends on Lucious and Clyburn. If Lucious is more complete/effective than Scotty, then that is an upgrade. If Clyburn > Allen, then that's an upgrade. But until they hit the floor, IDK, I have not seen them. There's no replacing RW, but the points can come more conventionally from Gibson and Booker posting up (esp Gibson, I think he is mini-Big Vic in the making).
The thing I am worried about is chemistry. Lots of guys who can play but only so many minutes to go around. Especially at the 2/3 spot - Clyburn, Babb, McGee, Sledge, Bubu - that feels tough to manage to me. Babb will be the team leader, like Kantrail once upon a time. This will be a very different team, might start slow and come on late, like this year. I expect much wailing and grinding of teeth on these boards in December.
I would say equaling this years record would be a reasonable goal. Conference will be about same level of difficulty, some teams up and some down. Could challenge KU if it all works out, although one of OU, OSU, TX will probably rise up to a high level as well.
With RW: Scary good, though still some early chemistry problems.
With RW after CFH works on his jump shot over the summer: Everything is possible.