Predictions - Football
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Re: Predictions
Along with the W or L prediction is my personal feeling on chance of win in a percentage.
Kent State (80%)- W
Northern Iowa (80%)- W
Iowa (33%)- L
at Toledo (60%)- W
at Nebraska (15%)- L
at Texas Tech (30%)- L
Texas (15%)- L
Oklahoma (15%)- L
at Missouri (25%)- L
Kansas State (40%)- L
Colorado (50.1%)- W
at Kansas (40%)- L
I have 4-8 with best case at 6-6 and worst case 2-10.
Along with the W or L prediction is my personal feeling on chance of win in a percentage.
Kent State (80%)- W
Northern Iowa (80%)- W
Iowa (33%)- L
at Toledo (60%)- W
at Nebraska (15%)- L
at Texas Tech (30%)- L
Texas (15%)- L
Oklahoma (15%)- L
at Missouri (25%)- L
Kansas State (40%)- L
Colorado (50.1%)- W
at Kansas (40%)- L
I have 4-8 with best case at 6-6 and worst case 2-10.
Re: Predictions
If we make a bowl game this year i think that Gene should be and will be coach of the year in the Big 12. However I know some football players and they are going through a much tougher offseason workout and gene has filled them with confidence.
If we make a bowl game this year i think that Gene should be and will be coach of the year in the Big 12. However I know some football players and they are going through a much tougher offseason workout and gene has filled them with confidence.
Re: Predictions
I understand why some of you are being pessimistic, and I wouldn't be surprised if some of your predictions are true. But I don't see why most think we will lose to Iowa. Think about the momentum after most likely 2 wins to start the season with a new coach and then facing a down year Iowa at Home? I think we come out on fire that game and the energy will be crazy, I say we win and start 3-0.
Then we probably beat Toledo, from there...who knows, could go down hill facing those teams.
I understand why some of you are being pessimistic, and I wouldn't be surprised if some of your predictions are true. But I don't see why most think we will lose to Iowa. Think about the momentum after most likely 2 wins to start the season with a new coach and then facing a down year Iowa at Home? I think we come out on fire that game and the energy will be crazy, I say we win and start 3-0.
Then we probably beat Toledo, from there...who knows, could go down hill facing those teams.
Re: Predictions
Here it is, my predictions are based on the fact that we have todd blythe healthy, brett is now alowed to throw over the whole field not 1/3 like last year, we don't have the worst play caller in the world, our offensive line can't get any worse, we have a running back who runs faster than a 4.7 forty and isn't injured every 3 games, and our coach doesn't choke in every game that has signifigance othe that the Iowa game
Kent State - W
UNI - W
Iowa - W
@ Toledo - W
@ Nebraska - unlikely but I hate them and I think chizik can actually win a big game on the road so W
@ Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - W; no adrian peterson, no problem:wink0st:
@ Mizzou - L
K State - W
Colorado - W
@ Kansas - W
I realize this is very optomistic but I think the potential with the best statistical QB and WR ever to play at ISU has to mean something, also we have the best head coach at Iowa State(my opinion) my final thought SOMEBODY HAS TO WIN THE GAMES, WHY NOT US?
Here it is, my predictions are based on the fact that we have todd blythe healthy, brett is now alowed to throw over the whole field not 1/3 like last year, we don't have the worst play caller in the world, our offensive line can't get any worse, we have a running back who runs faster than a 4.7 forty and isn't injured every 3 games, and our coach doesn't choke in every game that has signifigance othe that the Iowa game
Kent State - W
UNI - W
Iowa - W
@ Toledo - W
@ Nebraska - unlikely but I hate them and I think chizik can actually win a big game on the road so W
@ Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - W; no adrian peterson, no problem:wink0st:
@ Mizzou - L
K State - W
Colorado - W
@ Kansas - W
I realize this is very optomistic but I think the potential with the best statistical QB and WR ever to play at ISU has to mean something, also we have the best head coach at Iowa State(my opinion) my final thought SOMEBODY HAS TO WIN THE GAMES, WHY NOT US?
Re: Predictions
What kind of odds will you give me if I bet against this prediction? I'd bet the house on it that it won't happen. Like the optimism but I if I think Oklahoma has a top notch RB replacing Peterson so doubt you see much dropoff there. I still worry about UNI and Toledo some considering both games came down to the last play last year. I think UNI is a win but a win on the road at Toledo, especially the 1st road game of the year could be tough.
I really have little expectations this season, I just want to see some gradual improvment and set a solid foundation just like we did in basketball that will set us up for future success. Our defense is still not going to scare anyone and until the Jucos on offense prove themselves those are big question marks right now in my mind. I really do think Meyer is an illusion and he's not a guy that is going to carry a team down the stretch of a game and win it with great plays. I hope he proves me wrong and does but his tendancies and decision-making in the past have not been very clutch when we needed him to be.
What kind of odds will you give me if I bet against this prediction? I'd bet the house on it that it won't happen. Like the optimism but I if I think Oklahoma has a top notch RB replacing Peterson so doubt you see much dropoff there. I still worry about UNI and Toledo some considering both games came down to the last play last year. I think UNI is a win but a win on the road at Toledo, especially the 1st road game of the year could be tough.
I really have little expectations this season, I just want to see some gradual improvment and set a solid foundation just like we did in basketball that will set us up for future success. Our defense is still not going to scare anyone and until the Jucos on offense prove themselves those are big question marks right now in my mind. I really do think Meyer is an illusion and he's not a guy that is going to carry a team down the stretch of a game and win it with great plays. I hope he proves me wrong and does but his tendancies and decision-making in the past have not been very clutch when we needed him to be.
Re: Predictions
My optimistic picks have us at 6-6 while my pessimistic ones have us about 3-9.
If we don't get one of those last two non-con games we'll be looking at a long, long losing streak that could be tough to snap once we get into the more winnable Big 12 games. It seems like we always get stuck with a brutal stretch to start conference play.
My optimistic picks have us at 6-6 while my pessimistic ones have us about 3-9.
If we don't get one of those last two non-con games we'll be looking at a long, long losing streak that could be tough to snap once we get into the more winnable Big 12 games. It seems like we always get stuck with a brutal stretch to start conference play.
Re: Predictions
Exactly, teams like OU don't have to rebuild, they reload. You've better count on Bob Stoops already having a solid RB recruit that can come in right on the tail of AP. Just because they lose a couple of seniors doesn't mean it evens the playing field for us. It alters it slightly because there will always be growing pains for new starters, but for the most part, their newcomers are almost always going to be a step ahead of competition like us.
Toledo on the road has me worried as well. Kansas lost in OT to them last year in the same situation, and just because they're a MAC team doesn't mean we won't struggle. I realize that it's a new era with a new attitude, so games like the one at Army hopefully will no longer happen, but the Rockets are pretty good at home, and they're figuring to have an even better team this year than the one they brought to Ames last year.
Exactly, teams like OU don't have to rebuild, they reload. You've better count on Bob Stoops already having a solid RB recruit that can come in right on the tail of AP. Just because they lose a couple of seniors doesn't mean it evens the playing field for us. It alters it slightly because there will always be growing pains for new starters, but for the most part, their newcomers are almost always going to be a step ahead of competition like us.
Toledo on the road has me worried as well. Kansas lost in OT to them last year in the same situation, and just because they're a MAC team doesn't mean we won't struggle. I realize that it's a new era with a new attitude, so games like the one at Army hopefully will no longer happen, but the Rockets are pretty good at home, and they're figuring to have an even better team this year than the one they brought to Ames last year.
Re: Predictions
Beating OU...that's funny. It would be like predicting a win by ISU over Nebraska back in '92. Sure, it can happen yet it's not very likely.
I'll dance in the streets and call you the master if you're right, yet I see that happening about as much as I see Paris Hilton being named Female Citizen of the Year.
Love your optimism, I just don't see the talent there. We need too much help on both lines and in the secondary. Depth is a huge concern nearly across the board as well.
Beating OU...that's funny. It would be like predicting a win by ISU over Nebraska back in '92. Sure, it can happen yet it's not very likely.
I'll dance in the streets and call you the master if you're right, yet I see that happening about as much as I see Paris Hilton being named Female Citizen of the Year.
Love your optimism, I just don't see the talent there. We need too much help on both lines and in the secondary. Depth is a huge concern nearly across the board as well.
Re: Predictions
I don't like the last year or in the past excuses, this is a new team, a new coach, a new era, I don't want to compare any part of this team to last year or any past teams. Chizik is introducing these guys to what it takes to win, trust me talent is nothing compared to hard work and Chizik knows that and is installing that like none other at a place where that isn't pounded into their heads from day one.
I go to Aplington Parkersburg High School, I play football for Ed Thomas, I know the value of work ethic, our school never has the best athletes but I can guarantee you, we work harder than 95% of all the high schools in Iowa if not the nation and that's why we have continued sucess and 5 players in the NFL from a 1A iowa high school team
I don't like the last year or in the past excuses, this is a new team, a new coach, a new era, I don't want to compare any part of this team to last year or any past teams. Chizik is introducing these guys to what it takes to win, trust me talent is nothing compared to hard work and Chizik knows that and is installing that like none other at a place where that isn't pounded into their heads from day one.
I go to Aplington Parkersburg High School, I play football for Ed Thomas, I know the value of work ethic, our school never has the best athletes but I can guarantee you, we work harder than 95% of all the high schools in Iowa if not the nation and that's why we have continued sucess and 5 players in the NFL from a 1A iowa high school team
Re: Predictions
Here's my shot . . .
Wins (100% chance of winning): Kent State, UNI, Toledo
Toss-Ups (50% chance of winning): Colorado, at Kansas
Slight Dogs (30% chance of winning): Iowa, Texas Tech, Missouri, Kansas State
Heavy Underdogs (10% chance of winning): Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska
So I am predicting the three wins outright. If I use a probabilistic approach to the other games, then we win one of the toss-ups, 1.2 of the slight underdogs, and .3 of the heavy underdogs. I predict we will win 5.5 games.
Here's my shot . . .
Wins (100% chance of winning): Kent State, UNI, Toledo
Toss-Ups (50% chance of winning): Colorado, at Kansas
Slight Dogs (30% chance of winning): Iowa, Texas Tech, Missouri, Kansas State
Heavy Underdogs (10% chance of winning): Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska
So I am predicting the three wins outright. If I use a probabilistic approach to the other games, then we win one of the toss-ups, 1.2 of the slight underdogs, and .3 of the heavy underdogs. I predict we will win 5.5 games.
Re: Predictions
Kent State - W
Northern Iowa - W
Iowa - W
at Toledo - W
at Nebraska - L
at Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - L
at Missouri - L
Kansas State - W
Colorado - W
at Kansas - W
I know 7-5 is optimistic based on us having a new system and everything we lost after last season, but the point is everyone lost something. Sure, we're starting with a fresh O-line, but a new line doesn't necessarily mean a worse line, especially considering the line we had to deal with last year. I think Meyer, Blythe, Sumrall, and Bowen all have chips on their shoulders after last season and are extra motivated for this season. You could tell that by how hard they "hit it" in their first several workouts. I know JUCOs are generally hit or miss, but Chizik pulled in some talent from the JUCOs that are going to provide immediate support. Finally, I look to the 2004 season, when we were expected to finish last. I think there were unknowns that season then there are this season. I think we've got more talent and definitely better coaching this season than that season.
I think Kent St. and No. Iowa are gimmies. Iowa is down this year and that's gonna show when they have to come into a hostile, extremely partial Jack Trice this year. I think Toledo last year was a fluke, punctuated by bad play calling and overconservatism. That changes this year. Nebraska, Tech, and Mizzou had best not be overlooking us or they're gonna get pie in their face. Either Texas or Oklahoma's gonna get a scare at the Jack. I think what determines the outcome of the season is how we are able to rebound from a 5 game midseason losing streak. It's quite possible it sinks us, allowing the 4-5 win season, and it's possible and realistic, but I somehow don't see Chizik and company letting that happen. I think that's what enables the 6 or 7 win season.
Kent State - W
Northern Iowa - W
Iowa - W
at Toledo - W
at Nebraska - L
at Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - L
at Missouri - L
Kansas State - W
Colorado - W
at Kansas - W
I know 7-5 is optimistic based on us having a new system and everything we lost after last season, but the point is everyone lost something. Sure, we're starting with a fresh O-line, but a new line doesn't necessarily mean a worse line, especially considering the line we had to deal with last year. I think Meyer, Blythe, Sumrall, and Bowen all have chips on their shoulders after last season and are extra motivated for this season. You could tell that by how hard they "hit it" in their first several workouts. I know JUCOs are generally hit or miss, but Chizik pulled in some talent from the JUCOs that are going to provide immediate support. Finally, I look to the 2004 season, when we were expected to finish last. I think there were unknowns that season then there are this season. I think we've got more talent and definitely better coaching this season than that season.
I think Kent St. and No. Iowa are gimmies. Iowa is down this year and that's gonna show when they have to come into a hostile, extremely partial Jack Trice this year. I think Toledo last year was a fluke, punctuated by bad play calling and overconservatism. That changes this year. Nebraska, Tech, and Mizzou had best not be overlooking us or they're gonna get pie in their face. Either Texas or Oklahoma's gonna get a scare at the Jack. I think what determines the outcome of the season is how we are able to rebound from a 5 game midseason losing streak. It's quite possible it sinks us, allowing the 4-5 win season, and it's possible and realistic, but I somehow don't see Chizik and company letting that happen. I think that's what enables the 6 or 7 win season.
Re: Predictions
Well, when the vast majority of the players on the '07 team were also on the '06 team, you can't just ignore comparisons to '06 and even '05. A new staff just doesn't wipe the slate clean in one or even two years.
I've met Ed, phenominal coach. He's helped get a number of athletes to the next level and some of these guys have gone even to the next level. You can't credit all that to Ed though.
Having said that, I think great coaching makes a bigger difference in high school than great coaching does in college. I did not say great coaching doesn't help, it certainly does a ton. I just believe coaching disparities mean more at the lower levels than they college or professional. And most Friday night, Ed has his counterpart over matched.
Back to ISU...it's time to face the music - a good number of the players we have are not designed to start (and do well) at the Big 12 level. With exception to a few positions, the vast majority of our players would be back-ups on other Big 12 teams - if on their rosters at all. That's a big disparity - like it or not.
I don't care if Bear Bryant himself rose from the dead and walked into Jack Trice - we're going to struggle this year to get wins.
Well, when the vast majority of the players on the '07 team were also on the '06 team, you can't just ignore comparisons to '06 and even '05. A new staff just doesn't wipe the slate clean in one or even two years.
I've met Ed, phenominal coach. He's helped get a number of athletes to the next level and some of these guys have gone even to the next level. You can't credit all that to Ed though.
Having said that, I think great coaching makes a bigger difference in high school than great coaching does in college. I did not say great coaching doesn't help, it certainly does a ton. I just believe coaching disparities mean more at the lower levels than they college or professional. And most Friday night, Ed has his counterpart over matched.
Back to ISU...it's time to face the music - a good number of the players we have are not designed to start (and do well) at the Big 12 level. With exception to a few positions, the vast majority of our players would be back-ups on other Big 12 teams - if on their rosters at all. That's a big disparity - like it or not.
I don't care if Bear Bryant himself rose from the dead and walked into Jack Trice - we're going to struggle this year to get wins.
Re: Predictions
Optimistic:
Kent State - W
Northern Iowa - W
Iowa - W
at Toledo - W
at Nebraska - L
at Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - L
at Missouri - L
Kansas State - W
Colorado - W
at Kansas - W
Overall 7-5 (3-5)
Pessimistic:
Kent State - W
Northern Iowa - W
Iowa - L
at Toledo - L
at Nebraska - L
at Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - L
at Missouri - L
Kansas State - L
Colorado - L
at Kansas - L
Overall 2-10 (0-8)
I think we'll end up either 4-8 or 5-7. 6-6 to me would mean a very sucessful season.
I think they key will be how we play the first 2 games of the season. I EXPECT 2 victories...and if we struggle...well we know what happened last year. If we beat Iowa, I think we go on the road and beat a down Toledo team which would mean we start out 4-0. I don't see a win until KSU but would love to see us steal one of the big 5.
Optimistic:
Kent State - W
Northern Iowa - W
Iowa - W
at Toledo - W
at Nebraska - L
at Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - L
at Missouri - L
Kansas State - W
Colorado - W
at Kansas - W
Overall 7-5 (3-5)
Pessimistic:
Kent State - W
Northern Iowa - W
Iowa - L
at Toledo - L
at Nebraska - L
at Texas Tech - L
Texas - L
Oklahoma - L
at Missouri - L
Kansas State - L
Colorado - L
at Kansas - L
Overall 2-10 (0-8)
I think we'll end up either 4-8 or 5-7. 6-6 to me would mean a very sucessful season.
I think they key will be how we play the first 2 games of the season. I EXPECT 2 victories...and if we struggle...well we know what happened last year. If we beat Iowa, I think we go on the road and beat a down Toledo team which would mean we start out 4-0. I don't see a win until KSU but would love to see us steal one of the big 5.
Re: Predictions
Well, he DOES have the coaching mentality of Dan McCarney... and it IS Missouri...
Well, he DOES have the coaching mentality of Dan McCarney... and it IS Missouri...
Re: Predictions
Our track record on the road is pretty freakin' bad. I think our best chance at a road win in conference is at KU...but they put a beat down of all beat downs on us at home last year so I don't even think that is realistic.
Do we have a fighting chance in our road games? Sure. Am I confident we will win one? No.
Our track record on the road is pretty freakin' bad. I think our best chance at a road win in conference is at KU...but they put a beat down of all beat downs on us at home last year so I don't even think that is realistic.
Do we have a fighting chance in our road games? Sure. Am I confident we will win one? No.
