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  1. #1
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    Season projection, based on NIU result

    Some of us are nervous about stumbling out of the blocks in the season opener.

    A lot of us expect a win, but too close for comfort.

    A few of us say ISU ought to crush teams like this.

    I happen to agree with all of those assessments.

    I think NIU will have a good season, so it'll be no cakewalk. My hunch is a 7- to 10-point Iowa State win. (I chose 34-24).

    No matter what the result, I think it's possible to make a reasonable guess about ISU's record, based on tonight's game. I've done this in previous years and been fairly close (although I usually haven't publicly posted it, so I can't prove it ). If the opener was against, say, OU, it might not work, but it usually applies.

    So, here it goes. Feel free to beg to differ.

    ISU wins by:
    40-plus: 9-3
    30-39 points: 8-4
    20-29: 7-5
    10-19: 6-6/5-7*
    4-9: 4-8
    1-4 or OT win: 3-9
    Loss: 2-10

    * If it's closer to 19, 6-6; closer to 10, 5-7

    This is assuming NIU performs close to expectations (winning its MAC division or seriously challenging for it).

    If this holds any water at all, ISU obviously needs to beat the spread comfortably, or this season could be a bummer.

    I'm sure someone will link to this later in the season if it turns out to be hopelessly inaccurate.


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    Re: Season projection, based on NIU result

    I'll just go W/L.

    We win - I'm calling for 5-7 (as high as 7-5)
    We lose - I'll say 2-10 (as low as 0 for)

    I'm picking us to win - say 34-24 and go 5-7.



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    Re: Season projection, based on NIU result

    Ill just say if we win by more than 20, our chances of beating Iowa go way up.



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    Re: Season projection, based on NIU result

    i tried doing this exact same thing in 2008. We beat SDSU like 47-10, but only won 2 games that season.



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    Re: Season projection, based on NIU result

    If you guys win tonight, you'll go 12-0. If you lose, you'll go 0-12.



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    Re: Season projection, based on NIU result

    I predict there will be 11 games left to play when this one is done (12 if you count the bowl)



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    Re: Season projection, based on NIU result

    Huge win - 7-5

    10-17 win - 6-6

    closer than 10 win - 5-7

    close loss - 5-7

    more than 10 point loss - 3-9



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