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    W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Sorry if this was posted in some fashion previously.

    A lot of us have made a W-L prediction for ISU fball this season that strike a balance — not as high as we'd like it to be, but realistically optimistic.

    Where do you set the bar for (1) well beyond expectations (you'd consider the season a surprising success) and (2) well below expectations (you'd consider it a definite disappointment)

    Give your prediction, the minimum W-L for "surprising success" and W-L for "disappointment" (that is, any record below that is "failure")

    For simplicity, disregard postseason; just use regular season.

    Prediction: 5-7
    Surprising success: 8-4
    Disappointment: 4-8


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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Prediction: 4-8
    Suprising Success: 6-6
    Disappointment: 0-12

    I would guess our overunder at about 5.5 games.


    Last edited by CycloneNC2015; 07-20-2010 at 12:37 PM.
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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Prediction: 6-6
    Surprising success: 9-3
    Disappointment: 5-7


    Last edited by JUKEBOX; 07-20-2010 at 12:50 PM.

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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Quote Originally Posted by cyclones500 View Post
    Sorry if this was posted in some fashion previously.

    A lot of us have made a W-L prediction for ISU fball this season that strike a balance — not as high as we'd like it to be, but realistically optimistic.

    Where do you set the bar for (1) well beyond expectations (you'd consider the season a surprising success) and (2) well below expectations (you'd consider it a definite disappointment)

    Give your prediction, the minimum W-L for "surprising success" and W-L for "disappointment" (that is, any record below that is "failure")

    For simplicity, disregard postseason; just use regular season.

    Prediction: 5-7
    Surprising success: 8-4
    Disappointment: 4-8

    Prediction 7-5
    Suprising Success 8 or more wins
    Disappointment 5-7

    Same as last year. This should be ISU standard.



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Prediction: 5-7 (2-2, 3-5) NIU, UNI, KSU, KU, CU
    Surprising success: 7-5
    Disappointment: 3-9



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    If we have a lot of fans with 5-7 as disappointment, we may have a very disappointed fanbase at the end of the year.



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Predication 5-7
    Surprise 6-6
    Disappointment 2-10



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Prediction: 6-6; wins over NI, UNI, KSU, KU, TT, CU

    Surprising Success: 12-0; now that's a hell of a surprise!

    Disappointment: Less than 6 wins; as a fan I can live with 5 or less wins, but these kids have been playing inspired and shouldn't settle for less than 6


    Last edited by 3GenClone; 07-20-2010 at 01:34 PM.

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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Prediction- 5-7

    Suprising Success- 7-5 with an "upset" win vs. IA, TT, Utah, NU, OK, TX.

    IA, NU, TX and OK are all ranked in preseason polls in the top 25. A win over TT would be a first over a south team not named Baylor in quite a while if IRC. Utah has become a very strong team and a win over them at home would be big.

    Dissapointment- Anything less than 5 wins. To me this means that our O will not have taken a step forward in year 2 under CPR and loss to at least one or two teams on the schedule that we should beat (NIU, N IA, KSU, KS, CO etc).


    Last edited by CykoAGR; 07-20-2010 at 01:38 PM.
    “It’s beyond pride. It’s a restored trust. There’s a confidence again, a passion that teeters on swagger. More than anything, (Iowa State head coach Paul Rhoads) has restored the Iowa State “it” factor, the steadfast belief that it is great to be a Cyclone...the man’s enthusiasm is genuine to the core...”
    – columnist Sean Keeler, Des Moines Register

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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Prediction: 5-7
    Surprise: 7-5
    Disappointment: 3-9



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Likely: 5-7.
    Surprise: Anything above seven wins.
    Disappointment: Anything below four wins.



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    prediction: 6-6
    Surprise: 9-3
    Disappointment: anything below 5 wins



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Quote Originally Posted by 3GenClone View Post
    Prediction: 6-6; wins over NI, UNI, KSU, KU, TT, CU

    Surprising Success: 12-0; now that's a hell of a surprise!

    Disappointment: Less than 6 wins; as a fan I can live with 5 or less wins, but these kids have been playing inspired and shouldn't settle for less than 6
    This is mine too. The only win on the schedule that would truly surprise me is UT, maybe OU. I could rationalize any other wins.


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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    I see 7 crucial games on the schedule 4 that I think will win and 3 that wouldn't shock me if we were to win (NIU, UNI, KSU, KU, are locks IMO with Nebby, MIzzou and Colorado being maybes) Of those 7 games I'd be disappointed if we didn't win 5, and anything more than that would be a surprise to me.



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    Re: W-L: Overachieve/Underachieve

    Quote Originally Posted by weR138 View Post
    This is mine too. The only win on the schedule that would truly surprise me is UT, maybe OU. I could rationalize any other wins.
    I remember reading something that Stoops has lost twice in Norman since he took over. I'd be SHOCKED if we won in Norman.



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