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  1. #1
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    Best case-worst case senario for season

    Here's my worst case senario:
    Wins:
    Kent State
    Northern Iowa or Toledo
    KState or CU or KU
    Record: 3-9

    Best Case
    Wins:
    Kent State
    Northern Iowa
    Iowa
    Toledo
    Mizzou
    K State
    CU
    Kansas
    Record: 9-3

    Best Guess
    Wins
    Kent State
    No Iowa
    Toledo
    CU
    Kansas
    Record: 5-7
    I think it will be tough to beat Neb. there and very tough to beat Tech, TX,Oklahoma
    Other thoughts?



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    There is a good chance of being 4-0 heading into Lincoln. Right now Nebraska is at "war" with itself. A lot of internal bickering. They have a chance of self-destructing their season away. And they have the coach who can make it happen.

    I do believe 9-3 is possible.



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    I don't think you're too far off. I'd love to squeeze one more win out of there somewhere (in your best guess scenario). I'd be satisfied with a .500 record. (I guess I'm being a bit of a pessimist).

    Hopefully, we could get that CU or KSU game to get to 6 wins...



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Best case we beat: Colorado, Iowa, Kent State, UNI, Toldeo, Kansas State, Kansas. (7-5)
    Worst case we beat: UNI, Kent State (2-10)

    Realistic: Wins over Kent State, UNI, Colorado, (Either Toledo or Iowa even though both are VERY winnable) and one Big 12 game. (4-8 or 5-7)

    I think we will have something to play for in the season finale at Kansas, other than pride of course.



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Quote Originally Posted by Drive4cy View Post
    Best case we beat: Colorado, Iowa, Kent State, UNI, Toldeo, Kansas State, Kansas. (7-5)
    Worst case we beat: UNI, Kent State (2-10)

    Realistic: Wins over Kent State, UNI, Colorado, (Either Toledo or Iowa even though both are VERY winnable) and one Big 12 game. (4-8 or 5-7)

    I think we will have something to play for in the season finale at Kansas, other than pride of course.
    Best case is 3 big 12 wins?



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Quote Originally Posted by ajjohnson View Post
    Best case is 3 big 12 wins?
    You tell me where the other possible wins come from.

    @Nebraska- We haven't won there in like 200 years, plus they have the talent edge.
    @ Texas Tech- Our defense was one of the worst in America last year, and our secondary is still not up to stopping that spread on the road.
    Texas- We get them at home, but it would be a miracle to beat them next yr.
    Oklahoma- This is a game I feel we could win actually, but would be a big upset if we did.
    @Missouri- Winnable game, but not one I expect.
    K-State- This is a must win, but they are no slouch.
    Colorado- Who knows what to expect from CU this season, but at home we can win this one.
    @Kansas- Steadily improving team who embarrassed us last season in JTS. I still say it's winnable, but I won't hold my breath.

    So really, I'd say we have 5 possible Big 12 wins, but 2-3 realistic wins. We have too many holes on defense and too many questionable players in the trenches IMO.



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Quote Originally Posted by Drive4cy View Post
    You tell me where the other possible wins come from.

    @Nebraska- We haven't won there in like 200 years, plus they have the talent edge.
    @ Texas Tech- Our defense was one of the worst in America last year, and our secondary is still not up to stopping that spread on the road.
    Texas- We get them at home, but it would be a miracle to beat them next yr.
    Oklahoma- This is a game I feel we could win actually, but would be a big upset if we did.
    @Missouri- Winnable game, but not one I expect.
    K-State- This is a must win, but they are no slouch.
    Colorado- Who knows what to expect from CU this season, but at home we can win this one.
    @Kansas- Steadily improving team who embarrassed us last season in JTS. I still say it's winnable, but I won't hold my breath.

    So really, I'd say we have 5 possible Big 12 wins, but 2-3 realistic wins. We have too many holes on defense and too many questionable players in the trenches IMO.
    I guess you have told yourself where they could come from.



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Looking at our schedule, here are my percentages for victory:

    vs. Kent State - We damn well better win this one. - 91%
    vs. UNI - Same as above. ALMOST a guaranteed win, knock on wood. - 99%
    vs. Iowa - The game's in our house, though this has the potential to be loss #1 - 50%
    at Toledo - Not as easy as it looks. Potential to be even more of a scare than last year's 3OT game. - 67%
    at Nebraska - We keep banking on NU to self-destruct, but this one is a make or break game for the season. A win puts us in a situation to be the surprise team in the Big XII, otherwise, we're in for a long one. - 47%
    at Texas Tech - lf the secondary isn't ready by this time, this one will be a loss. - 48%
    vs. Texas - Situational game. If the team gets off to a hot start this year, Jack Trice will be ROCKING for this game! Still, the cynic in me says... - 17%
    vs. OU - Not much easier, though the possibility for an upset bumps this one up to around - 29%
    at Mizzou - Finally, it gets a wee bit easier. - 54%
    vs. Kansas State - Payback for last year. Bonus points for being at home. - 78%
    vs. Colorado - Depends. I just don't know for this game. - 70%
    at Kansas - Again, a payback game. They embarrassed us on our home field, time to return the favor. 85%

    I think this year, once again, boils down to the NU game. Our first win in Lincoln since the 70s will catapult the schedule to look a bit like this:

    vs Kent - W
    vs UNI - W
    vs EIU - W/L
    at Toledu - W
    at NU - W
    at TTU - W
    vs UT - L
    vs OU - W/L
    at MU - W
    vs KSU - W
    vs CU - W
    at KU - W/L (Big 12 North title on the line, and all..)

    However, a poor start will lead to this:

    vs Kent - W
    vs UNI - W
    vs EIU - W/L
    at Toledu - W/L
    at NU - L
    at TTU - L
    vs UT - L
    vs OU - L
    at MU - W/L
    vs KSU - W/L
    vs CU - W
    at KU - W (Nothing to lose, just gotta get a win for momentum into next year... or a bowl...?)

    Best case scenario, 9-3 breakout season that had nothing to do with an easy schedule!

    Worst case scenario, it's a 4-8 season that indicates progress, but leaves us anxious for basketball season.


    Go Sssssssssyclones!

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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    I will say best case 8 wins, worst case 4, I will predict what I consider a very successful 6 win season.



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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    I'm pessimistic. Reasons: 1. We do not have a Big 12 offensive line. 2. We do not have a Big 12 running back. 3. We do not have two Big 12 cornerbacks. 4. We do not have 3 Big 12 linebackers. 5. We have a Big 12 kicker, until the situation gets tight.

    I'm basing this on the players currently on the roster. My guess regarding the jucos is about 80% will make it here and of those, about 1 in 4 will pan out.

    Best case = 4 wins
    Worst case = 3 wins.



  11. #11
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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Quote Originally Posted by cyclonelifer View Post
    There is a good chance of being 4-0 heading into Lincoln. Right now Nebraska is at "war" with itself. A lot of internal bickering. They have a chance of self-destructing their season away. And they have the coach who can make it happen.

    I do believe 9-3 is possible.

    Just wanted to know what you think is going on at Nebraska. I havent heard to much about the team falling apart over there. I know Callahan is a coach who can destroy a good team.

    Anyway, I say 5 wins next year but I wouldnt be suprised to see 7 if Chizik puts some fight in this team.



  12. #12
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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Quote Originally Posted by ketelmeister View Post
    Here's my worst case senario:
    Wins:
    Kent State
    Northern Iowa or Toledo
    KState or CU or KU
    Record: 3-9

    Best Case
    Wins:
    Kent State
    Northern Iowa
    Iowa
    Toledo
    Mizzou
    K State
    CU
    Kansas
    Record: 9-3

    Best Guess
    Wins
    Kent State
    No Iowa
    Toledo
    CU
    Kansas
    Record: 5-7
    I think it will be tough to beat Neb. there and very tough to beat Tech, TX,Oklahoma
    Other thoughts?

    Personally I think we have a way better shot of beating Missouri than we do Kansas. Just my 2 cents. And yes I realize Chase Daniel is a stud.


    Now that MBB is back, do we still have to pretend that WBB matters?

    -acgclone

  13. #13
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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Worst Case: 2-10

    Wins over Kent State and UNI and NO conference wins.


    Best Case:8-3

    Losses to Texas, Oklahoma and Nebraska


    And there you have, it my worst and best.


    Last edited by CyBobby; 04-22-2007 at 11:17 AM.

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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    I would like to see a better record than last year, and see us improve with every game...try to break the trend from the last couple of years.



  15. #15
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    Re: Best case-worst case senario for season

    Quote Originally Posted by Drive4cy View Post
    Best case we beat: Colorado, Iowa, Kent State, UNI, Toldeo, Kansas State, Kansas. (7-5)
    Worst case we beat: UNI, Kent State (2-10)

    Realistic: Wins over Kent State, UNI, Colorado, (Either Toledo or Iowa even though both are VERY winnable) and one Big 12 game. (4-8 or 5-7)

    I think we will have something to play for in the season finale at Kansas, other than pride of course.
    This is the most realistic predictions I've seen from anyone. Rep comin' your way for this. This is exactly what I keep saying, 4-5 wins is the most realistic and even best case with our schedule 7 would be quite an accomplishment.

    Everyone keeps thinking just because we have a new coach that alone is going to account for 2-3 or more wins. Anyone thinking 8 or 9 wins is going to be mightly disappointed when the realistic 4 or 5 wins happens.



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