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  1. #1
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    Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    Not sure if this has been posted already, but this is amazing!
    So far, this 17 year old kid has picked every game correctly so far! Apparently the odds of picking the first two rounds exact is one in 13,460,000.
    His bracket is on CBS' bracket challenge.
    And for the record, he has UNI beating MSU, but losing to Tenn in the Elite 8.
    Autistic teen picks perfect bracket - College Basketball Nation Blog - ESPN

    His Bracket:
    http://media.nbcchicago.com/images/WinningBracket.jpg


    When Prepared, Fear No One.

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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    Wow! That's amazing. Thanks for posting!



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    I was just thinking his final 4 picks are a little crazy. then again what do i know, hes the expert



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    Quote Originally Posted by Farnsworth View Post
    I was just thinking his final 4 picks are a little crazy. then again what do i know, hes the expert
    Well, if I looked at some of the games he picked in the first two rounds before the tourney started, I would have thought he was crazy too.


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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    As I type this post, there is a sportsbook entity in Vegas is trying to figure out how to tap into this kid's talent.



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    I can see him being right the rest of the way, except for Purdue. I think it is extremely unlikely that they will beat both Duke and Kentucky. I wouldn't be shocked to see them in the final four though.



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    yea purdue in the finals is the only one that seems off base, but this year, nothing would surprise me.



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    I said this yesterday, but I like to repeat myself and enjoy reading my own posts a lot...I'm happy for the kid. It's awesome. But can we just call this what it really is? It's luck. If Jay Bilas did the same thing it would still be luck. If the most accurate bookie did this it would be luck. Just sayin'...




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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    So I saw that the stats of calling the whole thing correctly were 1 in 35,360,000,000, but what are the odds of someone who has the sweet 16 correct making it the rest of the way? Any stats folks out there?



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    Quote Originally Posted by ahaselhu View Post
    I can see him being right the rest of the way, except for Purdue. I think it is extremely unlikely that they will beat both Duke and Kentucky. I wouldn't be shocked to see them in the final four though.
    Dan Patrick touched on this today. They mentioned that this kid picked Purdue because his older brother went there. Not sure if that is true but that was their take on it.



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    What was point total for the final game?


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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    Quote Originally Posted by DMjazz View Post
    Dan Patrick touched on this today. They mentioned that this kid picked Purdue because his older brother went there. Not sure if that is true but that was their take on it.
    The homer factor will bring ruination to his bracket!


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  13. #13
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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    I don't know about Purdue, but the rest of it is amazing.



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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    Quote Originally Posted by azepp View Post
    So I saw that the stats of calling the whole thing correctly were 1 in 35,360,000,000, but what are the odds of someone who has the sweet 16 correct making it the rest of the way? Any stats folks out there?
    If everything is 50/50, the odds of a perfect bracket (not counting the play-in game) would be one in 2^63 = 9.2 quintillion. The 35 billion number you quote probably takes into account the fact that games are not 50/50, which is especially the case in the earlier rounds.

    There are 15 games left. If they are 50/50, the odds of a perfect bracket given a perfect sweet 16 are 1 in 2^15 = 32768.



  15. #15
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    Re: Autistic Teen has the perfect NCAA Bracket

    i have changed my mind about the ncaa tourny.... nothing will surprise me. nothing.



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