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  1. #1
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    Yet another weather thread...

    This winter is getting old, isn't it?

    Anyways, with a few more inches coming this weekend, plus blowing snow, I need to ask the resident weather experts for some advice. I was planning on heading back to Glenwood from Ames for the weekend, but I don't know how bad this will be. Any idea what road conditions on I-80 between Omaha and DSM will be like Sunday afternoon? I wouldn't be too worried were it not for the wind/blowing snow.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    no such thing as a weather expert. they are nearly always wrong about how much snowfall/precipitation and when it will happen.


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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    I'm heading up to northwest Iowa this weekend, and from everything I've heard the snow is supposed to be Saturday night into Sunday morning, and the wind won't really pick up until it's done snowing. So I'm planning to head back here early afternoon on Sunday, hopefully before the wind picks up too bad and while there's plenty of daylight left. Of course, after today I still have 4 days of vacation to use or lose by the end of March, so if Sunday is worse than I'm expecting and I have to wait until Monday, it's no big deal for me.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by htownclone View Post
    no such thing as a weather expert. they are nearly always wrong about how much snowfall/precipitation and when it will happen.
    Really? What constitutes as wrong...by a couple hours, or by an inch?

    I'd say that they've been exceedingly accurate this year in terms of when its coming and roughly what we're going to get. They predict it, and then I get behind the wheel and go move it. Over and over and over and over.


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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by FD Cyclone View Post
    Really? What constitutes as wrong...by a couple hours, or by an inch?

    I'd say that they've been exceedingly accurate this year in terms of when its coming and roughly what we're going to get. They predict it, and then I get behind the wheel and go move it. Over and over and over and over.
    I tend to agree. About the only time they've blown it was the blizzard a couple of weeks ago. Snow & wind was in the forecast, but they were way off on amounts.

    As far as the OP goes, it's hard to say what road conditions will be like on Sunday, but if this winter has been any indication, it could get ugly. The NWS is still forecasting 3-6 inches for the DSM Metro and if the winds pick up like they say it will, the state DOT more than once this winter has pulled plows off the road.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    You will be driving through an area with slightly more snow and more wind than Ames. This area will probably have about 5 - 7 inches of new snow being blown around by 35 - 40 mph gusts out of the Northwest.

    It will probably be a lot like Monday afternoon did only with lower visibilities.

    A slow and slick trip.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    So...I'd probably be better off staying here. Damn it. Where's global warming when you need it?



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    So not looking like much fun driving through Iowa Sunday?

    Was planning on heading to Ames Sat night from KC (for girlfriend's family thing) then heading back to KC late afternoon/early evening on Sunday. Sounds like it'll be pretty crappy... looks like we might be staying in KC.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by gwoodclone View Post
    Where's global warming when you need it?
    I wish it was a localized phenomena that followed me around all winter than disappeared by June.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by FD Cyclone View Post
    Really? What constitutes as wrong...by a couple hours, or by an inch?

    I'd say that they've been exceedingly accurate this year in terms of when its coming and roughly what we're going to get. They predict it, and then I get behind the wheel and go move it. Over and over and over and over.
    There have been plenty of times in the last few years, although this year has been a little more accurate. I'm a teacher and twice last year we got out of school early because they were forecasting freezing rain and just terrible driving conditions, and literally NOTHING happened on one occasion and on the other, it wasn't until about 5 or 6 that any precipitation fell. I'm not at all saying it's an easy job, it's just kind of funny that it's the one profession where it's acceptable to be inaccurate or wrong. If you were off by a couple hours or off by a few inches while working any other job, you'd probably be fired.


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  11. #11
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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by htownclone View Post
    There have been plenty of times in the last few years, although this year has been a little more accurate. I'm a teacher and twice last year we got out of school early because they were forecasting freezing rain and just terrible driving conditions, and literally NOTHING happened on one occasion and on the other, it wasn't until about 5 or 6 that any precipitation fell. I'm not at all saying it's an easy job, it's just kind of funny that it's the one profession where it's acceptable to be inaccurate or wrong. If you were off by a couple hours or off by a few inches while working any other job, you'd probably be fired.
    They get paid to predict the future. The only other professions I can think of where that occurs is involved with wall street and sports gambling "touts".

    I think it would affect a teacher/school more so than other jobs on account of the liability involved to safely gets kids bussed in. I can imagine the lawsuits should a bus get in a nasty accident due to bad weather. I can see the hassle involved when they are wrong.


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  12. #12
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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    None of our weather gurus have checked in yet?



  13. #13
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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by htownclone View Post
    no such thing as a weather expert. they are nearly always wrong about how much snowfall/precipitation and when it will happen.
    Statements like this bug me and I am not a weather guru. There are sooo many variables when trying to predict how systems coming in from 3 different directions will behave when they merge.

    It's like asking someone what the exact score of tomorrow's basketball game will be. Vegas oddsmakers consider all of the variables possible and come up with point spreads and over/unders. They are pretty accurate, but look how often they completely miss the mark.

    So here goes.... Predict the exact score of tomorrow's game. Keep in mind that if you are off by a little, you set yourself up for ridicule.



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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by c.y.c.l.o.n.e.s View Post
    Statements like this bug me and I am not a weather guru. There are sooo many variables when trying to predict how systems coming in from 3 different directions will behave when they merge.

    It's like asking someone what the exact score of tomorrow's basketball game will be. Vegas oddsmakers consider all of the variables possible and come up with point spreads and over/unders. They are pretty accurate, but look how often they completely miss the mark.

    So here goes.... Predict the exact score of tomorrow's game. Keep in mind that if you are off by a little, you set yourself up for ridicule.
    Except that I don't make this big ballyhoo about my new prediction equipment, and it's ever-increasing accuracy, and claim that said equipment is keeping people safer when it isn't much better than a guess with fancy pictures. It's not the same as a random guy on the Internet guessing tomorrow's score.


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    Re: Yet another weather thread...

    [QUOTE=htownclone;1542896] If you were off by a couple hours or off by a few inches while working any other job, you'd probably be fired.

    Depends on the margin of error allowed, and I suppose, whether you're a statistician. (Wow, that's a difficult word to spell.)



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