I don't know how much it matters - three games in a row is tough, especially if the third game is a fresher OU, A&M or Baylor. If I understand the tie breakers, this is how it works out - ISU has a lock on 5th seed - we'll get 4th if NU loses and ISU wins this week. If both win, NU is 4th based on better division record. If both lose, NU wins if Baylor wins the south (record against #1 in other division). Any other south division outcome 4/5 is settled by a draw.
I think ISU is in the semi's no matter what - it's just that if we're playing fresh(er), we have a shot at the championship game. A strong finish means a better NCAA seed - a favorable seed is a chance at a sweet sixteen appearance - Medders and Ronhovde deserve a shot at that.
“We’ve got a pretty good football conference, and we’ve got a pretty good conference overall. We’re still walking around with our heads held high and our chest out, about that.” Paul Rhoads
Like you said, If ISU and Nebraska both lose and Baylor has a better big 12 record than A&M, Nebraska gets the 4 seed. However, if A&M has a better big 12 record than Baylor, we win the tiebreaker over Nebraska. If Baylor and A&M tie, then it goes to a draw between us and Nebraska.
And I don't care how much we blew out Kansas at Kansas. I never ever want to play them. :)
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